Brighton vs Burnley Prediction - Premier League: Opportunity to break away at Amex Stadium

Brighton will host Burnley at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League at 10:00 PM on January 3rd, 2026. This is a crucial clash between two teams currently in the lower half of the table, with Brighton striving to rediscover their winning form after a series of inconsistent performances.

Context and ranking position

After 19 rounds, Brighton are in 14th place with 25 points. Despite possessing a diverse attacking style, the team under their current manager has yet to break into the top group due to frequent draws. On the other hand, Burnley are in a worrying situation, sitting in 19th place with only 12 points, a considerable distance from safety.

In-depth performance analysis and statistics

Brighton: Amex Stadium Fortress

Notably, Brighton are extremely difficult to beat at home, having lost only one match at the Amex this season. With an average of 1.5 goals per game, the Amex side consistently puts immense pressure on their opponents. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded 27 goals in 19 matches.

Burnley: Defensive crisis

Burnley are having a disastrous season, especially away from home where they have lost 7 matches. With 37 goals conceded in 19 league games (an average of 1.9 goals per game), Burnley's defense is considered the weakest in the league. Their attacking ability is also unimpressive with only 20 goals scored since the start of the season.

History of confrontations and current team situation.

The head-to-head history over the last five matches shows a surprising balance with three draws all ending 1-1. This suggests that Burnley often plays very defensively against Brighton. However, the current personnel situation favors the home team.

Absent list

• Brighton:Carlos Baleba (on international duty), Solly March, Stefanos Tzimas, Adam Webster (knee injury) and Mats Wieffer (toe injury). Yankuba Minteh's participation is uncertain due to a thigh injury.
• Burnley:The squad is heavily depleted with Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri, and Axel Tuanzebe all on international duty. Zeki Amdouni (knee), Jordan Beyer (hamstring), Josh Cullen, and Connor Roberts (groin) are all absent. Maxime Esteve, Zian Flemming, and Joe Worrall's availability is uncertain.

Match analysis

With the home advantage and a squad of superior quality players, Brighton is predicted to control the game. Experts estimate the home team's chances of winning at 45%, while the probability of a draw is also at 45%. Given Burnley's weak defense, this is an excellent opportunity for Brighton to secure all three points and improve their position in the Premier League standings.

Team lineup updated at 21:23 03/01/2026

Official lineup

Brighton

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachFabian Hurzeler

Starting lineup:

• 1. Bart Verbruggen (G)
• 34. Joël Veltman (D)
• 6. Jan Paul van Hecke (D)
• 5. Lewis Dunk (D)
• 24. Ferdi Kadıoğlu (D)
• 26. Yasin Ayari (M)
• 8. Brajan Gruda (M)
• 25. Diego Gómez (M)
• 10. Georginio Rutter (M)
• 22. Kaoru Mitoma (M)
• 19. Charalampos Kostoulas (F)

Substitutes:

• 23. Jason Steele
• 21. Olivier Boscagli
• 29. Maxim De Cuyper
• 42. Diego Coppola
• 13. Jack Hinshelwood
• 20. James Milner
• 14. Tom Watson
• 30. Pascal Groß
• 18. Danny Welbeck

Burnley

Diagram: 5-4-1

CoachScott Parker

Starting lineup:

• 1. Martin Dúbravka (G)
• 2. Kyle Walker (D)
• 29. Josh Laurent (D)
• 18. Hjalmar Ekdal (D)
• 12. Bashir Humphreys (D)
• 23. Lucas Pires (D)
• 7. Jacob Bruun Larsen (M)
• 8. Lesley Ugochukwu (M)
• 16. Florentino Luís (M)
• 11. Jaidon Anthony (M)
• 27. Armando Broja (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Max Weiss
• 22. Oliver Sonne
• 54. Oliver Pimlott
• 10. Marcus Edwards
• 35. Ashley Barnes
• 41. George Brierley
• 17. Loum Tchaouna
• 34. Jaydon Banel
• 48. Enock Agyei