Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action: The Last Chance for the Iran Nuclear Deal

Actions speak louder than words.

After more than a year of interruption, it was not until December 21 that senior representatives of the countries participating in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, met again. Due to the Covid-19 pandemic, the first meeting in so long was held via video conference, but the long distance did not reduce the heat of the topic being discussed.

Speaking to the press after the conference, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said that the Iran nuclear deal is currently at a crossroads, and the next few weeks or months will determine the fate of this document.

German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas speaks about the Iran nuclear deal from Berlin. Photo: AP

Looking back, despite countless difficulties, the nuclear agreement was signed by the relevant parties in 2015, but with just one sentence from US President Donald Trump, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the agreement, which they considered "the worst in history" in 2018. Since then, the US has implemented“maximum pressure campaign”” towards Iran. And in response, an uncompromising Tehran has also contributed to pushing bilateral and multilateral negotiations into a “downward spiral,” as described by Germany’s number one diplomat Maas.

Now, two years on, Washington is about to see a new leadership team led by former Vice President Joe Biden take over the country. In that context, Maas and the foreign ministers of Iran, China, Russia and the UK issued a joint statement, confirming their desire to see the treaty preserved, while welcoming the “positive prospect of the US returning to the contents of the agreement under the “new” leader.President-elect Joe Biden.

As for Iran, speaking for the voices of the insiders, the German foreign minister warned: “The opportunity that is being offered now – the last window of opportunity – must not be squandered.” The diplomat sent a clear message: “For relations to warm up under Biden, it is absolutely necessary that there be no more tactical moves of the kind we have seen so much of recently – they would do nothing but undermine the agreement. We Europeans also emphasize the fact that more than a simple recognition of the terms will be needed.”

The Iran nuclear deal was signed in 2015. Illustration photo: Reuters

Echoing his German counterpart, British Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab also spoke out, stating: “I have been very clear that Iran must not take the steps it has recently announced to expand its nuclear programme. Doing so would undermine the opportunities for progress that we hope to see in 2021.” Furthermore, the resonant voices of the parties in the joint statement continued to affirm that “full and effective implementation of the JCPOA by all parties remains essential.”

New deal, old deal or nothing?

After being placed under US sanctions, the Islamic Republic of Iran has recently taken steps that, according to Western public opinion, go against the terms of the agreement signed five years ago, which was used to restrainprogrammeIran nuclearand in exchange for financial comforts.

Although Iran has been allowing inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to monitor its nuclear facilities and has fulfilled a number of other obligations, the country has in fact exceeded the uranium enrichment limit set by the deal.

Under President Trump, the US has made many unilateral moves, including withdrawing from the JCPOA. Photo: Reuters

The JCPOA limits uranium enrichment because it can be used to build nuclear warheads. But last month, hard-line Iranian politicians approved a provision allocating more funds for uranium enrichment, in a reversal of their original commitment. They also agreed to restrict IAEA inspectors’ access to their nuclear facilities.

More recently, in early December, Germany, France and the UK - also known as the E3 group - also had to express their concerns about Iran's plan to install modern centrifuges at the uranium enrichment plant in Natanz, declaring that these plans go against the JCPOA signed between Iran and world powers.

Many opinions say that,nuclear dealThe Trump administration has not only turned its back on Iran, but has also imposed secondary sanctions on anyone doing business with Iran since Washington withdrew from the deal.

An Iranian nuclear power plant. Photo: dpa

Now, as Trump's term is coming to an end, there is still a glimmer of hope that the deal will be given new life when the new leader Biden - who was Vice President of the United States when the deal with Iran was signed - meets with Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, a figure considered by the West to be a pragmatist.

The bigger question will be whether Biden will agree to return to the old deal, as Iran wants, or push for a new, broader deal that addresses other issues, such as Iran’s human rights record and its activities in the Middle East. The answer will be revealed in the coming months, or even weeks, because the nuclear issue has never been less hot on the international agenda.

Hoang Bach