Ninh Binh vs Becamex TP.HCM: a test for the number 1 striker

The attack line scored the most goals in V.League with 20 goals, a 5-match unbeaten streak (3 wins, 2 draws) and the strongest force: Ninh Binh entered the match to welcome Becamex TP.HCM at 6:00 p.m. on November 1st with the position of a team wanting to consolidate the top position. On the opposite side, the away team under coach Dang Tran Chinh just collected 4 points/3 matches but lost key midfielder Minh Khoa due to a torn ligament - a big gap in the midfield.

Form, head-to-head and context

Becamex TP.HCM has been "more comfortable" and energetic since coach Dang Tran Chinh took over the team: 4 points in the last 3 matches, notably the victory over defending champions Nam Dinh. However, the limitations on the attack are still obvious, especially after the defeat against Hanoi and Minh Khoa's injury.

Ninh Binh, on the other hand, is climbing the ladder with a diverse attacking style: 3 wins, 2 draws in the last 5 matches, scoring 20 goals – the most in the tournament. The history of direct confrontation between the two teams is still thin, having only met once and drawn. In the last 5 matches (all competitions), Ninh Binh is undefeated (3 wins, 2 draws), while Becamex TP.HCM has only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses – a clear contrast before the ball rolls.

Expected forces and lineup

Ninh Binh: Coach Albadalejo Gerard has a full squad, no injuries or suspensions recorded.

Becamex TP.HCM: Minh Khoa is absent (torn ligament), directly affecting the ability to control and compete in the midfield.

Expected lineup

Ninh Binh: Van Lam (GK), Thanh Thinh, Marcelino, Quang Nho, Bao Toan, Thanh Trung, Duc Chien, Hoang Duc, Ngoc Ha, Rodrigues, Daniel.

Becamex HCMC: Minh Toan (GK), Tung Quoc, Milos, Dinh Khuong, Trung Hieu, Thanh Hau, Hugo Alves, Van Anh, Oduenyi, Minh Binh, Viet Cuong.

Tactical angle: control the midfield, exploit the flanks

Ninh Binhlikely to maintain a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 structure that favors ball possession. The power comes from direct attacks and the ability to quickly transition, where the trio Daniel - Rodrigues - Hoang Duc both finish well and move flexibly to open up space. 20 goals do not come from a single striker but from the distribution and multi-directional attack - the foundation that helps them break away in the rankings.

Becamex HCMCThere is a basis to choose 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 which is more defensive and counter-attacking. The lack of Minh Khoa forces the midfield to compress deeply, prioritizing compactness and narrowing the space in front of the penalty area. Promising opportunities appear when Ninh Binh pushes up, but to convert into goals, they need speed and decisiveness from the wing attackers.

The decisive hot spot

• Median: a tenacious battle between Hoang Duc and the visitors' midfield – a test of their ability to circulate the ball, win it back and organize counter-attacks without Minh Khoa.
• Wing corridor: Ninh Binh often creates breakthroughs from the flanks; Becamex TP.HCM's full-backs will have to endure high pressure in both phases - defense and counter-attack support.
• Daniel vs Milos Duel: Daniel's damage output will meet Milos's solidity and experience. Whoever wins the aerial duels and reads the situation better can decide the rhythm of the match.

Players to watch

• Daniel (Ninh Binh): dangerous striker thanks to his diverse finishing and smart movements; together with Rodrigues and Hoang Duc, contributed a total of 11 goals for Ninh Binh.
• Hoang Duc (Ninh Binh): conductor in the midfield area, both creating tempo and ready to score himself.
• Milos (Becamex HCMC): a pillar of the defense, strong in the air and reading situations – key to reducing pressure from the home team.

Comments

Home advantage, rising form and a full squad put Ninh Binh in the upper hand. Becamex TP.HCM need a tight match, patience and sharpness in rare counter-attacks to dream of a score. However, the difference in attacking systems and the lack of personnel in midfield tilt the balance in favor of the home team.

Score prediction: Ninh Binh 3-1 Becamex HCMC.

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