Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction - Premier League

Thanh Vinh•January 3, 2026 08:20

Aston Villa đứng trước cơ hội củng cố vị trí trong top 3 khi tiếp đón Nottingham Forest đang khủng hoảng tại Villa Park vào lúc 19h30 ngày 03/01/2026.

Trận đấu giữa Aston Villa và Nottingham Forest tại vòng đấu mới của Premier League là cuộc đối đầu giữa hai thái cực hoàn toàn trái ngược trên bảng xếp hạng. Trong khi đội chủ nhà đang bay cao trong nhóm dự Champions League, đội khách lại đang chật vật ở nhóm cuối bảng với nguy cơ xuống hạng hiện hữu.

Bối cảnh và vị trí trên bảng xếp hạng

Aston Villa hiện đang đứng thứ 3 với 39 điểm sau 19 vòng đấu, tạo ra khoảng cách an toàn với các đội bám đuổi. Ngược lại, Nottingham Forest xếp thứ 17 với 18 điểm, chỉ xếp trên nhóm xuống hạng nhờ chỉ số phụ hoặc khoảng cách điểm số mong manh. Sân vận động Villa Park sẽ là điểm tựa lớn cho đoàn quân chủ nhà trong nỗ lực duy trì cuộc đua vô địch.

ĐộiVị tríĐiểmPhong độ
Aston Villa339thắng 4, thua 1
Nottingham Forest1718thắng 1, thua 4

Analyzing team form and strength

Aston Villa: Strength at the hallowed ground of Villa Park

The home team boasts an incredibly impressive home record with 7 wins and only 1 loss since the start of the season. Aston Villa's scoring efficiency averages 1.6 goals per game, while their defense is quite disciplined, conceding only 1.2 goals per game. Although they recently suffered a defeat in their last 5 matches, their morale remains very high after 4 consecutive wins prior to that.

Nottingham Forest: Concerns in the defense

In contrast to their opponents, Nottingham Forest are going through a bad period, having lost 4 of their last 5 matches. Their biggest problem lies in their defense, having conceded 30 goals in 19 games (an average of 1.6 goals per game). On the road, Forest are also not a reliable team, having suffered 5 defeats. Their limited attacking ability (0.9 goals per game) makes it difficult for them to spring a surprise against a well-organized defense like Aston Villa's.

History of confrontations and current team situation.

In their last five encounters, Aston Villa have the upper hand with three wins, zero draws, and two losses. Notably, the most recent match at Villa Park in April 2025 ended with a 2-1 victory for the home team.

In terms of personnel, both teams are facing serious losses:

  • Aston Villa:Tyrone Mings (hamstring injury), Pau Torres (calf injury), Ross Barkley (knee injury), and Evan Guessand (international duty) are unavailable. Amadou Onana's participation is uncertain.
  • Nottingham Forest:Chelsea are without key strikers Chris Wood (knee injury) and Ryan Yates (hamstring injury). Willy Boly and Ibrahim Sangare are also absent due to international duty. Dan Ndoye's fitness is questionable.

Tactical analysis and predictions

Based on statistical data, Aston Villa are considered the clear favorites with a 45% chance of winning. However, a draw is also calculated at 45% if the away team plays defensively to try and earn points. Nottingham Forest have only a 10% chance of securing all three points at Villa Park.

With key central defenders like Mings and Torres absent, Aston Villa may struggle to keep a clean sheet, but their attacking strength is enough to compensate and secure at least a point. Expert advice leans towards Aston Villa winning or drawing this match.

Team lineup updated at 18:53 on 03/01/2026

Official lineup

Aston Villa

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachUnai Emery

Starting lineup:

  • 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
  • 2. Matty Cash (D)
  • 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
  • 3. Victor Lindelöf (D)
  • 22. Ian Maatsen (D)
  • 44. Boubacar Kamara (M)
  • 8. Youri Tielemans (M)
  • 7. John McGinn (M)
  • 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
  • 10. Emiliano Buendía (M)
  • 11. Ollie Watkins (F)

Substitutes:

  • 40. Marco Bizot
  • 12. Lucas Digne
  • 16. Andrés García
  • 26. Lamare Bogarde
  • 71. TJ Carroll
  • 19. Jadon Sancho
  • 20. Jamaldeen Jimoh
  • 53. George Hemmings
  • 17. Donyell Malen

Nottingham Forest

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachSean Dyche

Starting lineup:

  • 13. John Victor (G)
  • 34. Ola Aina (D)
  • 31. Nikola Milenković (D)
  • 5. Murillo (D)
  • 3. Neco Williams (D)
  • 8. Elliot Anderson (M)
  • 16. Nicolás Domínguez (M)
  • 29. Dilane Bakwa (M)
  • 10. Morgan Gibbs-White (M)
  • 21. Omari Hutchinson (M)
  • 19. Igor Jesus (F)

Substitutes:

  • 26. Matz Sels
  • 4. Morato
  • 35. Oleksandr Zinchenko
  • 37. Nicolò Savona
  • 44. Zach Abbott
  • 12. Douglas Luiz
  • 24. James McAtee
  • 9. Taiwo Awoniyi
  • 15. Arnaud Kalimuendo

Thanh Vinh