Mallorca vs Athletic Club Prediction - La Liga

The match between Mallorca and Athletic Club at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is ​​predicted to be a tough challenge for the visitors. While Mallorca is striving to accumulate points to move away from the relegation zone, Athletic Club is facing its most pressing personnel issue of the season so far.

10:15 PM on January 17th - Match context

Currently, Athletic Club sits in 8th place in the league table with 24 points, while the home team Mallorca is 17th with 18 points. The 6-point gap reflects the difference in skill level, but the current form and squad situation are making the balance more even than ever.

Mallorca: The home advantage at Son Moix.

Mallorca entered this match needing points to maintain a safe distance from the relegation zone. Statistics show that the team has performed quite consistently at home, with 3 out of their 4 wins this season coming at their home ground. Their average goal-scoring rate of 1.1 goals per game isn't exceptionally high, but it's enough to cause difficulties for any opponent who lacks focus.

In terms of personnel, Mallorca's coach will be without P. Maffeo due to accumulating too many yellow cards and M. Morlanes due to a muscle injury. However, compared to their opponents, this loss is still manageable.

Athletic Club: Severe squad crisis

The visiting team, Athletic Club, is going through a difficult period in terms of form, having won only 1 of their last 5 matches. Their biggest problem lies in their prolonged injury list. As many as 7 key players are definitely absent, including pillars in defense and midfield such as A. Laporte, M. Vesga, and Y. Alvarez.

In particular, Athletic Club's attack is showing signs of stagnation with an efficiency of only 0.9 goals per game. Having to play away from home with a severely depleted squad will be an extreme challenge for the Basque team's goal of securing all three points.

Head-to-head history and predictions

Looking at the head-to-head history, Athletic Club has a slight advantage. In the last 5 encounters, they won 2 and drew 3. However, as many as 3 matches ended in a draw, showing that Mallorca always knows how to make things difficult for this opponent.

• October 4, 2025: Athletic Club 2 - 1 Mallorca
• March 10, 2025: Athletic Club 1 - 1 Mallorca
• October 29, 2024: Mallorca 0 - 0 Athletic Club
• April 7, 2024: Athletic Club 1 - 1 Mallorca
• February 3, 2024: Athletic Club 4 - 0 Mallorca

Based on the current squad situation, Mallorca is assessed to have a 35% chance of winning, equivalent to a draw. With home advantage and their opponent missing so many key players, Mallorca is highly likely to secure at least one point. The match is predicted to be low-scoring as both teams tend to play cautiously.

Predicted result:Mallorca win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 21:38 on 17/01/2026

Official lineup

Mallorca

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachJagoba Arrasate

Starting lineup:

• 1. Leo Román (G)
• 2. Mateu Morey (D)
• 24. Martin Valjent (D)
• 4. Marash Kumarla (D)
• 3. Toni Lato (D)
• 5. Omar Mascarell (M)
• 12. Samú Costa (M)
• 18. Mateo Joseph (M)
• 10. Sergi Darder (M)
• 17. Jan Virgil (M)
• 7. Vedat Muriqi (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Lucas Bergström
• 25. Iván Cuélar
• 26. Iliesse Salhi
• 27. David Lopez
• 22. Johan Mojica
• 21. Antonio Raílo
• 11. Takuma Asano
• 20. Pablo Torre
• 19. Javi Llabrés
• 30. Justin-Noel Kalumba
• 6. Antonio Sánchez
• 9. Abdón Prats

Athletic Club

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachErnesto Valverde

Starting lineup:

• 1. Unai Simón (G)
• 12. Jesús Areso (D)
• 3. Daniel Vivian (D)
• 4. Aitor Paredes (D)
• 17. Yuri Berchiche (D)
• 16. Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (M)
• 18. Mikel Jauregizar (M)
• 7. Álex Berenguer (M)
• 20. Unai Gómez (M)
• 10. Nico Williams (M)
• 11. Gorka Guruzeta (F)

Substitutes:

• 27. Alex Padilla
• 47. Iker Monreal Agundez
• 15. Íñigo Lekue
• 19. Adama Boiro
• 2. Andoni Gorosabel
• 30. Alejandro Rego
• 44. Selton Sanchez
• 23. Robert Navarro
• 8. Oihan Sancet
• 9. Iñaki Williams
• 25. Urko Izeta

Thanh Vinh