Lecce vs Udinese Prediction - Serie A

Thanh Vinh•February 8, 2026 08:13

The match at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero at 9:00 PM on February 8, 2026, will see Lecce's fight for survival against a Udinese side currently enjoying a stable position in the upper half of the table.

Matchday 24 of Serie A features a clash between two teams with completely contrasting objectives. While the home side, Lecce, is struggling in 17th place, barely above the relegation zone, Udinese is thriving in 9th place and poised to challenge for European qualification. With the home advantage, Lecce must seek points to save themselves, but the challenge posed by Udinese is immense.

Contrasting positions on the leaderboard

The 14-point gap between the two teams clearly reflects the difference in strength and form this season. Udinese are in a safe position with 32 points, while Lecce only have 18 points and are feeling the heat of the relegation battle.

Team Location Point Form (last 5 matches)
Udinese 9 32 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
Lecce 17 18 Draw 1, Loss 4

Form and goal-scoring performance

Lecce entered this match with a heavy heart. In their last five games, they had failed to win, suffering four defeats and only managing one draw. The biggest problem for the team at Via del Mare lies in their extremely weak attack. After 23 rounds, they have only scored 13 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per game – an alarming figure for any team aiming to remain in Italy's top league.

In contrast, Udinese has shown remarkable consistency. Notably, they perform exceptionally well away from home, with 5 wins in 11 away matches this season. Udinese's attack has scored 26 goals (an average of 1.1 goals per game), not explosive but knowing how to finish off opponents at the right moment.

Head-to-head history: Udinese's absolute dominance.

The statistics from the head-to-head history heavily favor the away team. In the last 5 encounters since October 2023, Udinese are unbeaten with 4 wins and 1 draw. Notably, in their last two away matches against Lecce, Udinese came away with all 3 points and kept a clean sheet.

  • October 25, 2025: Udinese 3 - 2 Lecce
  • February 22, 2025: Lecce 0 - 1 Udinese
  • October 5, 2024: Udinese 1 - 0 Lecce
  • May 13, 2024: Lecce 0 - 2 Udinese
  • October 23, 2023: Udinese 1 - 1 Lecce

Force situation

Both teams are facing personnel losses due to injuries, which will directly affect the coaches' tactical planning.

Lecce:The home team will definitely be without M. Berisha and F. Camarda due to injury. N. Stulic's availability remains uncertain after he suffered a foot problem.

Udinese:The visiting team travels to Via del Mare without K. Davis, H. Kamara, J. Piotrowski, and A. Zanoli (all suffering knee injuries). These are significant losses for Udinese's defense and midfield.

Tactical analysis and predictions

Based on current form and head-to-head history, Udinese is considered the clear favorite. The probability of the away team winning or at least drawing is as high as 90% (45% win rate, 45% draw rate). With Lecce possessing one of the weakest attacking lines in the league, this match is unlikely to see many goals.

Udinese will most likely play defensively, waiting for mistakes from Lecce's defense, which has already conceded 30 goals. A favorable result for the away team with a low total number of goals (under 3.5) is the most likely scenario in this match.

Team lineup updated at 20:42 on 08/02/2026

Official lineup

Lecce

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachEusebio Di Francesco

Starting lineup:

  • 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
  • 4. Kialonda Gaspar (D)
  • 16. Omri Gandelman (D)
  • 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
  • 20. Ylber Ramadani (D)
  • 23. Riccardo Sottil (M)
  • 25. Antonino Gallo (M)
  • 29. Lassana Coulibaly (M)
  • 44. Tiago Gabriel (M)
  • 50. Santiago Pierotti (M)
  • 99. Walid Cheddra (F)

Substitutes:

  • 1. Christian Früchtl
  • 32. Jasper Samooja
  • 18. Gaby Jean
  • 3. Corrie Ndaba
  • 5. Jamil Siebert
  • 19. Lameck Banda
  • 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
  • 79. Oumar Ngom
  • 36. Filip Marchwiński
  • 8. Sadik Fofana
  • 6. Alex Sala
  • 9. Nikola Štulić
  • 11. Konan N'Dri

Udinese

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachKosta Runjaic

Starting lineup:

  • 40. Maduka Okoye (G)
  • 8. Jesper Karlström (D)
  • 13. Nicolò Bertola (D)
  • 14. Arthur Atta (D)
  • 15. Vakoun Bayo (M)
  • 19. Kingsley Ehizibue (M)
  • 28. Oumar Solet (M)
  • 31. Thomas Kristensen (M)
  • 32. Jürgen Ekkelenkamp (F)
  • 33. Jordan Zemura (F)
  • 38. Lennon Miller (F)

Substitutes:

  • 93. Daniele Padelli
  • 1. Alessandro Nunziante
  • 22. Branimir Mlačić
  • 27. Christian Kabale
  • 20. Juan Arizala
  • 11. Hassane Kamara
  • 6. Oier Zarraga
  • 7. Idrissa Gueye
  • 10. Nicolò Zaniolo
  • 18. Adam Buksa

Thanh Vinh