Valencia vs Osasuna Prediction - La Liga Round 26

Thanh Vinh•March 1, 2026 09:07

Valencia face a huge challenge at Mestalla as they host Osasuna with a severely depleted squad, directly threatening their efforts to avoid relegation in La Liga.

The match between Valencia and Osasuna in round 26 of La Liga is not only a clash between two historically significant teams but also a test of character and ambition for both sides. While Valencia is struggling at the bottom of the table, Osasuna has shown resilience in maintaining a position in the top half.

Match information

  • Time:22:15 on March 1, 2026
  • Stadium:Estadio de Mestalla

Current league position and form

Entering this round, the disparity in status between the two teams is clearly evident in their current points and rankings. Osasuna is having a relatively stable season, while Valencia faces the constant threat of relegation.

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Osasuna1033Win 3 matches, draw 2 matches
Tehran1626Win 2 matches, lose 3 matches

Valencia currently sit 16th with 26 points, just a narrow distance from the relegation zone. After 25 matches, they have only managed 6 wins. In contrast, Osasuna are firmly in 10th place with 33 points, boasting impressive form with undefeated results in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws).

Statistical analysis and performance

Valencia: Is the Mestalla stadium strong enough?

Despite their overall poor form, Valencia have maintained a certain level of resilience when playing at home. Of their six wins this season, four have come at Mestalla. However, their defense is a major weakness, having conceded 39 goals in 25 matches (an average of 1.6 goals per game), while their attack has only managed one goal per game.

Osasuna: The tenacity of the away team

Osasuna doesn't have a particularly impressive away record, with only 2 wins in 13 away games. However, their disciplined style of play helps them maintain a balanced goal difference (30 goals scored, 29 goals conceded). With their current good form, the visitors have every reason to aim for a positive result at the Bats' stadium.

Recent head-to-head history

The head-to-head record in the last 5 matches slightly favors Osasuna. Specifically, in the last 5 encounters, Osasuna won 2 matches, Valencia won 1 match, and the two teams drew 2 matches.

  • August 24, 2025: Osasuna 1 - 0 Valencia
  • March 3, 2025: Osasuna 3 - 3 Valencia
  • September 25, 2024: Valencia 0 - 0 Osasuna
  • April 16, 2024: Osasuna 0 - 1 Valencia
  • August 28, 2023: Valencia 1 - 2 Osasuna

Force situation

This is the biggest headache for Valencia's coaching staff. The home team's injury list is growing, with key players in both defense and attack:

  • Valencia:J. Copete (ankle injury), M. Diakhaby (muscle injury), D. Foulquier (knee injury), and D. Lopez (ankle injury) are definitely out. The availability of J. Agirrezabala and L. Beltran remains uncertain.
  • Osasuna:The visiting team was only missing I. Benito due to a knee injury and A. Oroz due to accumulating too many yellow cards.

Expert opinions and predictions

In terms of squad strength and form, Osasuna has a clear advantage. Valencia, despite having home advantage, will struggle to withstand the visitors' pressing style of play due to the absence of too many key players in their defense.

Experts predict a tight match with few goals (under 2.5). The odds suggest that Osasuna have an equal chance of winning and a draw (45%), while Valencia's chances of winning are only 10%. The safest bet for this match is a draw or an Osasuna win.

Team lineup updated at 21:45 on 01/03/2026

Official lineup

Tehran

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachCarlos Corberan

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Stole Dimitrievski (G)
  • 12. Thierry Correia (D)
  • 4. Unai Núñez (D)
  • 24. Eray Cömert (D)
  • 14. José Luis Gayà (D)
  • 17. Largie Ramazani (M)
  • 2. Guido Rodríguez (M)
  • 23. Filip Ugrinić (M)
  • 11. Luis Rioja (M)
  • 8. Javier Guerra (F)
  • 6. Umar Sadiq (F)

Substitutes:

  • 28. Vincent Abril
  • 13. Cristian Rivero
  • 5. César Tárrega
  • 21. Jesús Vázquez
  • 16. Diego López
  • 18. Pepelu
  • 22. Baptiste Santamaria
  • 10. André Almeida
  • 19. Dani Raba
  • 7. Arnaut Danjuma
  • 27. David Otorbi
  • 9. Hugo Duro

Osasuna

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachAlessio Lisci

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Sergio Herrera (G)
  • 19. Valentin Rosier (D)
  • 24. Alejandro Catena (D)
  • 5. Jorge Herrando (D)
  • 20. Javi Galán (D)
  • 7. Jon Moncayola (M)
  • 6. Lucas Torró (M)
  • 21. Victor Muñoz (M)
  • 14. Rubén García (M)
  • 18. Raúl Moro (M)
  • 17. Ante Budimir (F)

Substitutes:

  • 13. Aitor Fernández
  • 41. Iñigo Arguibide
  • 22. Flavien Boyomo
  • 3. Juan Cruz
  • 23. Abel Bretones
  • 29. Asier Osambela
  • 16. Moi Gómez
  • 8. Iker Muñoz
  • 11. Kike Barja
  • 9. Raúl García de Haro

Thanh Vinh