Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction - Ligue 1

Thanh Vinh•March 6, 2026 09:13

Paris Saint Germain have the opportunity to widen their lead at the top of Ligue 1 when they host Monaco, a team facing a severe squad crisis with 10 injured players.

At 2:45 AM on March 7, 2026, the Parc des Princes stadium will be the focal point of Ligue 1 as league leaders Paris Saint Germain face Monaco. While PSG are demonstrating absolute dominance at home, Monaco travel to the capital with a severely depleted squad due to a wave of injuries.

Current league position and form

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Paris Saint Germain157Wins 4, Loss 1
Monaco7374 wins, 1 draw

Paris Saint Germain are dominating the league with 57 points after 24 rounds. Notably, the team from the Parc des Princes remains undefeated at home this season with 10 wins and 1 draw. On the other hand, Monaco, although currently ranked 7th, have been in fairly good form recently with a long unbeaten streak; however, their away record remains questionable as they have lost 5 away matches.

In-depth analysis and team statistics

Paris Saint Germain: An impregnable fortress.

The home team boasts the strongest attack in the league, averaging 2.2 goals per game (53 goals total). Their defense is also incredibly solid, having conceded only 19 goals since the start of the season. Their strength at Parc des Princes is their biggest asset, where they consistently impose their style of play and suffocate opponents with their superior ball control.

Monaco: A challenging personnel problem.

Despite their good form, Monaco are facing a severe personnel shortage. While their attack is impressive with 40 goals scored, their defense has conceded 36 goals, a worrying figure when facing top-class strikers like PSG. Furthermore, Monaco's away win rate is low, with only 3 wins in 12 away matches.

Team situation: A headache for two coaches.

On Paris Saint Germain's side, the team will be without three key players: Q. Ndjantou (muscle injury), J. Neves (ankle injury), and F. Ruiz (knee injury). However, the depth of the Parisian club's squad is still sufficient to fill these gaps.

Conversely, Monaco is facing a lengthy injury list. Key players definitely absent include K. Diatta, E. Dier, L. Hradecky, T. Minamino, P. Pogba, and M. Salisu. In addition, the availability of M. Biereth, K. Ouattara, J. Teze, and D. Zakaria remains uncertain. The absence of so many key players across all three lines will pose a significant challenge to the visitors' hopes of securing points.

Head-to-head history and match analysis

In their last five encounters, PSG have held the advantage with three wins, while Monaco have only managed one victory. The most recent first leg between the two teams ended in a dramatic 2-2 draw.

  • February 26, 2026: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 2 Monaco
  • February 18, 2026: Monaco 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
  • November 29, 2025: Monaco 1 - 0 Paris Saint Germain
  • February 8, 2025: Paris Saint Germain 4 - 1 Monaco
  • January 5, 2025: Paris Saint Germain 1 - 0 Monaco

Based on statistical data, PSG is rated with a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of the match ending in a draw. With home advantage and a superior squad, the Parc des Princes team has every advantage to secure at least one point. The advice for this match is to bet on the double chance: Paris Saint Germain win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 02:15 on 07/03/2026

Official lineup

Paris Saint Germain

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachEnrique Luis

Starting lineup:

  • 39. Matvey Safonov (G)
  • 2. Achraf Hakimi (D)
  • 6. Ilya Zabarnyi (D)
  • 51. William Pacho (D)
  • 25. Nuno Mendes (D)
  • 33. Warren Zaïre-Emery (M)
  • 17. Vitinha (M)
  • 27. Dro Fernández (M)
  • 14. Désiré Doué (F)
  • 29. Bradley Barcola (F)
  • 7. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (F)

Substitutes:

  • 30. Lucas Chevalier
  • 5. Marquinhos
  • 21. Lucas Hernández
  • 4. Lucas Beraldo
  • 19. Kang-in Lee
  • 24. Senny Mayulu
  • 9. Gonçalo Ramos
  • 10. Ousmane Dembélé
  • 49. Ibrahimovic

Monaco

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachSebastien Pocognoli

Starting lineup:

  • 16. Philipp Köhn (G)
  • 5. Thilo Kehrer (D)
  • 6. Denis Zakaria (D)
  • 25. Wout Faes (D)
  • 2. Vanderson (M)
  • 15. Lamine Camara (M)
  • 23. Aladji Bamba (M)
  • 12. Caio Henrique (M)
  • 28. Mamadou Coulibaly (F)
  • 11. Maghnes Akliouche (F)
  • 9. Folarin Balogun (F)

Substitutes:

  • 50. Yann Lienard
  • 13. Christian Mawissa
  • 4. Jordan Teze
  • 10. Aleksandr Golovin
  • 24. Simon Adendra
  • 44. Samuel Nibombe
  • 29. Paris Brunner
  • 31. Ansu Fati
  • 14. Mika Biereth

Thanh Vinh