Lecce vs Cremonese Prediction - Serie A: A crucial relegation battle at Via del Mare

Thanh Vinh•March 8, 2026 09:09

The match between Lecce and Cremonese in round 28 of Serie A is essentially a "relegation battle" as both teams are directly competing to avoid relegation, both having 24 points in the standings.

At 6:30 PM on March 8, 2026, the Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare will become the focal point of the Serie A relegation battle. Lecce and Cremonese enter this match with no room for error, as the gap between them and the safety zone is becoming extremely narrow.

Context and ranking position

Currently, both teams have 24 points, creating an extremely tense situation at the bottom of the table. Cremonese are temporarily ranked 17th thanks to a better goal difference, while Lecce are right behind them in 18th place. A victory in this direct confrontation would provide a huge advantage in terms of points and morale for the final stages of the season.

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Cremonese17244 losses, 1 draw
Lecce1824Win 2, Loss 3

Form and performance

Lecce: Home advantage

Lecce, playing at home, have played 27 matches this season with 6 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses. Notably, half of their wins have come at their home ground, Via del Mare. However, Lecce's attack is facing major problems, averaging only 0.7 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 36 goals since the start of the season.

Cremonese: Effort on the away pitch

On the opposite side, Cremonese have shown considerable resilience when playing away from home, with 3 of their 5 wins coming from away matches. Although they possess a slightly better attack than their opponents (21 goals), Cremonese's defense is weaker, having conceded 38 goals.

Head-to-head history and key statistics

The head-to-head history between the two teams in the last 5 matches shows absolute balance, with each side securing 2 wins and 1 draw. In the first leg in December 2025, Cremonese capitalized on their home advantage to win 2-0. However, when they have to travel to Via del Mare, the challenge will be much greater for them.

  • December 7, 2025: Cremonese 2 - 0 Lecce
  • February 4, 2023: Cremonese 0 - 2 Lecce
  • October 2, 2022: Lecce 1 - 1 Cremonese
  • January 24, 2022: Lecce 2 - 1 Cremonese
  • August 23, 2021: Cremonese 3 - 0 Lecce

Force situation

Both coaches are facing personnel headaches ahead of this crucial match. This is especially true for Cremonese, with the absence of key defender Baschirotto and important midfielder Terracciano.

  • Lecce:F. Camarda and K. Gaspar are definitely out due to injury. The availability of M. Berisha and O. Gandelman (knee injury) remains uncertain.
  • Cremonese:The team suffered a major blow with the absence of F. Baschirotto and F. Moumbagna due to muscle injuries. M. Collocolo was also unavailable, while F. Terracciano was absent due to accumulating too many yellow cards.

Tactical analysis and prediction

Given the importance of the match, both Lecce and Cremonese are likely to approach it cautiously. Statistics show that both teams have a low scoring rate (under 1 goal per game), so a high-scoring match is unlikely. Home advantage and fewer personnel losses could give Lecce the upper hand.

Experts predict Lecce has a 45% chance of winning, equivalent to a draw, while the visiting team Cremonese only has a 10% chance of winning. A scenario with fewer than 3.5 goals is considered highly likely.

Forecast:Lecce win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 18:00 on 08/03/2026

Official lineup

Lecce

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachEusebio Di Francesco

Starting lineup:

  • 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
  • 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
  • 5. Jamil Siebert (D)
  • 44. Tiago Gabriel (D)
  • 25. Antonino Gallo (D)
  • 29. Lassana Coulibaly (M)
  • 20. Ylber Ramadani (M)
  • 50. Santiago Pierotti (M)
  • 79. Oumar Ngom (M)
  • 19. Lameck Banda (M)
  • 9. Nikola Štulić (F)

Substitutes:

  • 1. Christian Früchtl
  • 32. Jasper Samooja
  • 13. Matías Pérez
  • 3. Corrie Ndaba
  • 18. Gaby Jean
  • 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
  • 8. Sadik Fofana
  • 6. Alex Sala
  • 16. Omri Gandelman
  • 36. Filip Marchwiński
  • 99. Walid Cheddra
  • 11. Konan N'Dri
  • 23. Riccardo Sottil

Cremonese

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachDavide Nicola

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Emil Audero (G)
  • 15. Matteo Bianchetti (D)
  • 5. Sebastiano Luperto (D)
  • 55. Francesco Folino (D)
  • 4. Tommaso Barbieri (M)
  • 29. Youssef Maleh (M)
  • 2. Morten Thorsby (M)
  • 27. Jari Vandeputte (M)
  • 3. Giuseppe Pezzella (M)
  • 10. Jamie Vardy (F)
  • 90. Federico Bonazzoli (F)

Substitutes:

  • 16. Marco Silvestri
  • 69. Lapo Nava
  • 30. Mikayil Faye
  • 23. Federico Ceccherini
  • 33. Alberto Grassi
  • 22. Romano Floriani Mussolini
  • 38. Warren Bondo
  • 32. Martín Payero
  • 7. Alessio Zerbin
  • 77. David Okereke
  • 9. Milan Đurić
  • 99. Antonio Sanabria

Thanh Vinh