Crystal Palace vs Leeds prediction - Premier League: Opportunity for the home team

Match information and context

The match between Crystal Palace and Leeds will take place at 9:00 PM on March 15, 2026, at Selhurst Park. With both teams currently in the lower half of the table, a win would help them widen the gap with the relegation zone and solidify their position in the Premier League.

Current league position and form

Currently, Crystal Palace is temporarily one place above their opponent with a significant points advantage. The home team is maintaining a relatively stable performance compared to their direct competitors.

Crystal Palace: Selhurst Park as their stronghold.

After 29 matches played, Crystal Palace have recorded 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. Notably, their defense has been quite solid, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per game. At their home ground, Selhurst Park, the team has secured 3 wins and 6 draws, demonstrating that they are a formidable opponent when supported by their home crowd.

Leeds: Concerns on away games

Conversely, Leeds are experiencing a turbulent season. While their attack has performed reasonably well with an average of 1.3 goals per game, their defense is a critical weakness, having conceded 48 goals. Leeds' away form is particularly worrying, as they have only managed one win in 14 away matches since the start of the season.

History of confrontations and forces

Head-to-head record

In the last five encounters between the two teams, the balance has slightly tilted towards the home team, Selhurst Park. Specifically, Crystal Palace has won 2 matches, while Leeds has won 1, and the two teams have drawn 2 times.

• December 21, 2025: Leeds 4 - 1 Crystal Palace
• April 9, 2023: Leeds 1 - 5 Crystal Palace
• October 9, 2022: Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Leeds
• July 22, 2022: Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Leeds
• April 26, 2022: Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds

Force situation

Both teams are facing personnel losses ahead of this crucial match. On the Crystal Palace side, striker E. Nketiah is definitely out due to a thigh injury, while D. Munoz's participation remains uncertain due to a shoulder problem.

On the visitors' side, Leeds are also anxiously awaiting the recovery of their key players. Both D. Calvert-Lewin (knee injury) and N. Okafor (hamstring injury) are still under observation and their inclusion in the starting lineup is uncertain.

Predicting tactics and making assessments.

With home advantage and better form in their last five matches, Crystal Palace are considered the favorites to control the game. Their chances of winning are predicted at 45%, equivalent to a draw. Meanwhile, Leeds' chances of causing an upset are only estimated at around 10%.

This match is predicted to be low-scoring, with both teams expected to score under 2.5 goals. The safer bet for this encounter is a Crystal Palace win or a draw.

Team lineup updated at 20:30 on March 15, 2026

Official lineup

Crystal Palace

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachOliver Glasner

Starting lineup:

• 44. Walter Benítez (G)
• 26. Chris Richards (D)
• 5. Maxence Lacroix (D)
• 23. Jaydee Canvot (D)
• 11. Brennan Johnson (M)
• 19. Will Hughes (M)
• 8. Jefferson Lerma (M)
• 3. Tyrick Mitchell (M)
• 7. Ismaïla Sarr (F)
• 29. Evann Guessand (F)
• 22. Jørgen Strand Larsen (F)

Substitutes:

• 31. Remi Matthews
• 17. Nathaniel Clyne
• 34. Chadi Riad
• 24. Borna Sosa
• 18. Daichi Kamada
• 55. Justin Davenny
• 20. Adam Wharton
• 14. Jean-Philippe Mateta
• 10. Yéremy Pino

Leeds

Diagram: 3-4-1-2

CoachDaniel Farke

Starting lineup:

• 26. Karl Darlow (G)
• 6. Joe Rodon (D)
• 15. Jaka Bijol (D)
• 5. Pascal Struijk (D)
• 24. James Justin (M)
• 18. Anton Stach (M)
• 4. Ethan Ampadu (M)
• 3. Gabriel Gudmundsson (M)
• 11. Brendan Aaronson (F)
• 14. Lukas Nmecha (F)
• 9. Dominic Calvert-Lewin (F)

Substitutes:

• 1. Lucas Perri
• 2. Jayden Bogle
• 23. Sebastiaan Bornauw
• 8. Sean Longstaff
• 44. Ilia Gruev
• 22. Tanaka Pond
• 7. Daniel James
• 29. Wilfried Gnonto
• 10. Joël Piroe

Thanh Vinh