Marseille vs Metz Prediction - Ligue 1

The match between Marseille and Metz will take place at 02:05 on April 11, 2026, at the Orange Vélodrome. This is considered an uneven match, as Marseille is maintaining its ambition to finish in the top four, while Metz is desperately trying to escape the relegation zone.

The difference in ranking positions

Currently, Marseille sits in 4th place with 49 points, maintaining a safe distance from their closest rivals. Meanwhile, Metz is ranked 18th with only 15 points after 28 rounds. The difference in points clearly reflects the contrasting form of the two clubs.

Form and goal-scoring performance

Marseille boasts an impressive attacking record, averaging 2.0 goals per game (a total of 55 goals). Notably, the team from the Orange Vélodrome is particularly strong at home, with 9 wins out of 15 matches this season. Despite suffering 9 defeats, only 2 of those losses have come at home, demonstrating their impenetrable fortress.

Conversely, Metz is experiencing a disastrous season with only 3 wins in 28 matches. Metz's defense is a critical weakness, having conceded 60 goals (an average of 2.1 goals per game), while their attack has only scored 25 goals. On the road, Metz has also performed poorly, with 11 losses in 14 away games.

Head-to-head history and key statistics

In their last five encounters, Marseille have a clear advantage with an unbeaten record, including two wins and three draws. In the first leg in October 2025, Marseille easily defeated Metz 3-0 away from home.

• October 4, 2025: Metz 0 - 3 Marseille
• February 10, 2024: Marseille 1 - 1 Metz
• August 19, 2023: Metz 2 - 2 Marseille
• February 14, 2022: Metz 1 - 2 Marseille
• November 7, 2021: Marseille 0 - 0 Metz

Force situation

Both teams are facing personnel losses due to injuries. Marseille will be without N. Aguerd due to a groin injury, G. Kondogbia has a thigh problem, and C. Egan-Riley is also absent due to an unspecified injury.

On the other side of the pitch, Metz suffered heavy losses in defense as both J. Mangondo and B. Munongo sustained serious knee injuries. In addition, B. Traore was also unavailable due to a calf injury.

Tactical analysis and predictions

With the home advantage and a squad of superior quality players, Marseille is expected to proactively push forward to seek an early goal. The home team's consistent scoring ability (2.0 goals per game) will put immense pressure on Metz's already shaky defense.

Metz will most likely play defensively in search of a valuable point, however, with a predicted win rate of only 10%, the chances of the visitors causing an upset at the Orange Vélodrome are very low. Experts predict a comfortable victory for the home team, Marseille.

Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 11/04/2026

Official lineup

Marseille

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachHabib Beye

Starting lineup:

• 1. Gerónimo Rulli (G)
• 28. Benjamin Pavard (D)
• 5. Leonardo Balerdi (D)
• 32. Facundo Medina (D)
• 22. Timothy Weah (M)
• 23. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (M)
• 27. Quinten Timber (M)
• 14. Igor Paixão (M)
• 10. Mason Greenwood (F)
• 9. Amine Gouiri (F)
• 17. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (F)

Substitutes:

• 20. Hamed Junior Traore
• 33. Emerson Palmieri
• 12. Jeffrey de Lange
• 26. Bilal Nadir
• 11. Ethan Nwaneri
• 8. Himad Abdelli
• 6. Tochukwu Nnadi
• 78. Angela Lago
• 18. Arthur Vermeeren

Measure

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachBenoit Tavenot

Starting lineup:

• 61. Pape Sy (G)
• 39. Koffi Kouao (D)
• 38. Sadibou Sané (D)
• 12. Alpha Touré (D)
• 2. Maxime Colin (D)
• 5. Jean-Philippe Gbamin (M)
• 20. Jessy Deminget (M)
• 70. Bouna Sarr (M)
• 10. Gauthier Hein (M)
• 7. Georgiy Tsitaishvili (M)
• 30. Habib Diallo (F)

Substitutes:

• 4. Urie-Michel Mboula
• 15. Terry Yegbe
• 97. Fodé Ballo-Touré
• 1. Jonathan Fischer
• 21. Benjamin Stambouli
• 19. Lucas Michal
• 11. Giorgi Kvilitaia
• 9. Giorgi Abuashvili
• 34. Nathan Mbala

Thanh Vinh