Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction - Premier League
Manchester City continued their pursuit of the top spot as they traveled to Turf Moor, where Burnley were struggling in the relegation battle with poor form.
The match between Burnley and Manchester City will take place at 02:00 on April 23, 2026, at Turf Moor Stadium. This is a clash between two teams at opposite ends of the league table, with the visiting team Manchester City competing for the championship and the home team Burnley striving to avoid relegation.
Contrasting positions on the leaderboard
Manchester City currently sit second with 67 points after 32 matches. Pep Guardiola's side have maintained high form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games. In contrast, Burnley are in 19th place with only 20 points after 33 matches. The Turf Moor side are going through a crisis, having only managed one draw and suffered four defeats in their last five games.
| Team | Location | Point | form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2 | 67 | 3 wins, 2 draws |
| Burnley | 19 | 20 | Wins 0, Draws 1, Losses 4 |
Performance analysis and professional statistics
Manchester City have demonstrated superior strength with a consistent scoring record, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Their defense is also among the most solid in the league, conceding an average of only 0.9 goals per game. This season, "The Citizens" have won 8 out of 16 away matches.
Burnley are facing serious problems at both ends of the pitch. They concede an average of 2.0 goals per game while only scoring 1.0 goal per game. Burnley's home record is also not very good, with only 2 wins in 16 matches played at Turf Moor.
A history of overwhelming confrontations.
Manchester City have completely dominated Burnley in recent encounters. In their last five matches, the Manchester team won all five, scoring a total of 19 goals and conceding only 2. Notably, these victories included emphatic wins such as 6-0 in March 2023 and 5-1 in September 2025.
- September 27, 2025: Manchester City 5 - 1 Burnley
- February 1, 2024: Manchester City 3 - 1 Burnley
- August 12, 2023: Burnley 0 - 3 Manchester City
- March 19, 2023: Manchester City 6 - 0 Burnley
- April 2, 2022: Burnley 0 - 2 Manchester City
Force situation and tactical forecast
Both teams are facing personnel losses due to injuries. However, Manchester City's squad depth is considered sufficient to fill the gaps.
Burnley's absentee list
- J. Beyer: Absent due to hamstring injury.
- J. Cullen: absent due to knee injury.
- H. Mejbri: absent due to hamstring injury.
- C. Roberts: absent due to muscle injury.
- Z. Amdouni: availability is uncertain due to knee injury.
Manchester City's list of absentees
- R. Dias: absent due to muscle injury.
- J. Gvardiol: Absent due to a broken leg.
- Rodri: absent due to groin injury.
Match analysis
Based on statistics and head-to-head history, Manchester City is considered the leading contender for victory. However, experts believe Burnley may try to secure a draw given the crucial nature of the relegation battle. The chances of a draw or a Manchester City win are 50/50 according to technical predictions. Manchester City is expected to control the game and put constant pressure on the opposing defense from the start.