Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes Prediction - Ligue 1

Thanh VinhApril 22, 2026 09:06

PSG have the opportunity to consolidate their lead at the top of Ligue 1 when they host Nantes, a team deeply mired in the relegation battle, at the Parc des Princes stadium.

The match between Paris Saint Germain (PSG) and Nantes will take place at 00:00 on April 23, 2026, at the Parc des Princes stadium. This is an uneven match between the reigning champions and a team struggling at the bottom of the Ligue 1 table.

Contrasting positions on the leaderboard

Paris Saint Germain currently holds the top spot in the league with 63 points after 28 rounds. The capital club maintains an impressive form with 20 wins since the start of the season, including 11 home wins. Conversely, Nantes is in 17th place with only 20 points after 29 matches, facing the risk of direct relegation if they do not improve their results soon.

TeamLocationPointForm in the last 5 matches
Paris Saint Germain163Win 3 matches, lose 2 matches
Nante1720Three draws, two losses

Strengths in attack and weaknesses in defense.

PSG boasts the most effective attack in the league with 62 goals (an average of 2.2 goals per game) and a fairly solid defense, conceding only 25 goals. In contrast, Nantes has major problems with finishing, scoring only 25 goals in 29 matches, while their defense has conceded 46 goals, an average of 1.6 goals per game.

The head-to-head history favors the home team.

In their last five encounters, PSG have shown complete dominance, winning three matches and drawing two. Notably, Nantes have failed to win against the capital team in the past two years. Recent match results show a trend of narrow victories for PSG, with scores such as 1-0 and 2-1.

  • August 18, 2025: Nantes 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
  • April 23, 2025: Nantes 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain
  • December 1, 2024: Paris Saint Germain 1 - 1 Nantes
  • February 18, 2024: Nantes 0 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
  • December 10, 2023: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 1 Nantes

Team situation and tactical predictions

PSG will be without several key players, including N. Mendes and Vitinha, due to heel injuries. Q. Ndjantou is also absent due to a muscle injury. However, with their superior squad depth, the PSG coach still has plenty of quality replacements to impose their familiar ball-possession style of play.

On the other side of the pitch, Nantes travel to Paris with a severely depleted squad. F. Centonze and D. Tabibou are absent due to suspensions (yellow and red cards), while K. Amian and T. Tati are unavailable due to injury. The absence of key players in defense will pose a significant challenge for Nantes in stopping the home team's strikers.

Match analysis

With the home advantage and a star-studded squad, PSG is predicted to completely control the game. Experts estimate the home team's chances of winning at 45%, equal to a 45% draw, while Nantes' chances of causing an upset are only 10%. The most likely scenario is a comfortable victory for PSG to maintain their safe lead in their quest to defend their title.

Team lineup updated at 23:30 on 22/04/2026

Official lineup

Paris Saint Germain

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachEnrique Luis

Starting lineup:

  • 39. Matvey Safonov (G)
  • 2. Achraf Hakimi (D)
  • 6. Ilya Zabarnyi (D)
  • 5. Marquinhos (D)
  • 33. Warren Zaïre-Emery (D)
  • 87. João Neves (M)
  • 4. Lucas Beraldo (M)
  • 27. Dro Fernández (M)
  • 14. Désiré Doué (F)
  • 10. Ousmane Dembélé (F)
  • 7. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (F)

Substitutes:

  • 30. Lucas Chevalier
  • 51. William Pacho
  • 21. Lucas Hernandez
  • 8. Fabián Ruiz
  • 24. Senny Mayulu
  • 19. Kang-in Lee
  • 9. Gonçalo Ramos
  • 29. Bradley Barcola
  • 49. Ibrahimovic

Nante

Diagram: 4-1-4-1

CoachVahid Halilhodzic

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Anthony Lopes (G)
  • 24. Frederic Guilbert (D)
  • 2. Ali Youssef (D)
  • 3. Nicolas Cozza (D)
  • 27. Driver Machado (D)
  • 66. Louis Leroux (M)
  • 22. Mathieu Acapandié (M)
  • 28. Ibrahima Sissoko (M)
  • 8. Johann Lepenant (M)
  • 10. Matthis Abline (M)
  • 31. Mostafa Mohamed (F)

Substitutes:

  • 30. Patrik Carlgren
  • 72. Sékou Doucoure
  • 26. Uros Radakovic
  • 6. Chidozie Awaziem
  • 17. Dehmaine Tabibou
  • 52. Bahmed Deuff
  • 37. Ignatius Ganago
  • 19. Youssef El Arabi
  • 11. Bahereba Guirassy

Thanh Vinh