Leeds vs Burnley Prediction - Premier League
The clash at Elland Road presented a stark contrast, with Leeds enjoying a five-match unbeaten run, while Burnley languished at the bottom of the table with a defense conceding an average of two goals per game.
At 2:00 AM on May 2nd, 2026, Leeds will host Burnley at Elland Road Stadium in the Premier League. This is a crucial match for both teams as they strive to improve their positions in the final rounds of the season. While Leeds are maintaining stability and climbing to the middle of the table, Burnley are facing a very real threat of relegation.
Position in the standings and relative strength of the teams.
Currently, Leeds are 15th in the league table with 40 points. The Elland Road side have proven to be a tough opponent, winning 2 and drawing 3 of their last 5 matches. In contrast, Burnley are in 19th place with only 20 points. The difference in points clearly reflects the contrasting form of the two clubs.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 15 | 40 | 2 wins, 3 draws |
| Burnley | 19 | 20 | 4 losses, 1 draw |
Leeds: Effectiveness from home ground
Leeds have played a total of 34 matches this season. Their home advantage at Elland Road remains key, with 7 of their 9 wins coming at home. With an average of 1.3 goals per game, Leeds' attack is expected to continue exploiting weaknesses in their opponents' defenses.
Burnley: The crisis shows no signs of ending.
On the opposite side, Burnley are having an incredibly difficult season with 22 losses in 34 matches. In particular, their defense is one of the weakest in the league, having conceded 68 goals (an average of 2.0 goals per game). Burnley have also only managed two away wins since the start of the season, making their chances of causing an upset at Elland Road very slim.
Head-to-head history and tactical statistics
The head-to-head history over the last five matches shows a certain balance. Burnley have won 2, drawn 2, and lost only 1 match against Leeds. However, these results largely occurred in previous seasons when the squads and form of both teams have fluctuated considerably.
- October 18, 2025: Burnley 2 - 0 Leeds
- January 28, 2025: Burnley 0 - 0 Leeds
- September 14, 2024: Leeds 0 - 1 Burnley
- January 2, 2022: Leeds 3 - 1 Burnley
- August 29, 2021: Burnley 1 - 1 Leeds
Team news and match forecast
In terms of personnel, Leeds will be without I. Gruev due to a knee injury. This is a significant loss to the home team's system. However, Burnley's situation is far more serious with a growing list of injured players. J. Cullen (knee injury) and H. Mejbri (hamstring injury) are definitely out, while Z. Amdouni's availability remains uncertain due to a knee problem.
Expert opinion
Based on statistics and recent form, Leeds are considered the clear favorites with a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of a draw. Burnley only have a 10% chance of securing all three points away from home. With Leeds on a stable run of form and Burnley consistently losing, the most likely scenario is a draw or a win for the home team.
- Predicted result:Leeds win or draw
- Goal scoring performance:Home team scores under 2.5 goals; Away team scores under 1.5 goals.