Pisa vs Lecce Prediction - Serie A: A battle for survival at Arena Garibaldi
Pisa, on the brink of relegation with a run of five consecutive defeats, will face Lecce, also struggling in the relegation battle, in round 35 of Serie A.
The match between Pisa and Lecce will take place at 01:45 on May 2nd, 2026 at the Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. This is considered a "six-point match" of crucial importance for both clubs in their efforts to remain in Italy's top league.
The home team is in a precarious position.
Pisa is having an incredibly tough season. Currently, they sit at the bottom of the table (20th place) with just 18 points after 34 matches. The gap to safety is widening as the team has only managed two wins since the start of the season, both of which came at home.
Pisa's recent form is a red flag with a streak of five consecutive defeats. Their attacking capabilities are extremely limited, averaging only 0.7 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 61 goals. To get any points against Lecce, Pisa needs a complete transformation in both mentality and tactics.
Lecce and their goal is to widen the gap.
On the other side of the pitch, Lecce are currently 17th with 29 points. Although they are higher than their opponents, their form hasn't been particularly convincing, having just suffered a streak of 3 consecutive defeats (2 draws, 3 losses in their last 5 matches). However, with 7 wins already secured, Lecce still hold their fate in their own hands in the relegation battle.
Lecce's weakness lies in their goal-scoring ability, with an even lower efficiency than Pisa (0.6 goals per game). However, Lecce's defense is more solid than their opponent's, having conceded only 46 goals in 34 matches. This could be the key to their success at Arena Garibaldi.
Head-to-head history and form statistics
In their last five encounters, Lecce have held a slight advantage with three wins, while Pisa have triumphed twice. In the first leg in December 2025, Lecce secured a narrow 1-0 victory at home.
| Team | Location | Score | Win - Draw - Loss | Goal difference (Goals scored/Goals conceded) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 17 | 29 | 7 - 8 - 19 | 22 / 46 |
| Pisa | 20 | 18 | 2 - 12 - 20 | 24 / 61 |
Force situation
Both teams entered this match with lengthy injury lists, significantly impacting the coaches' personnel choices:
- Pisa:D. Denoon is absent due to an ankle injury, R. Durosinmi and M. Tramoni are suffering from muscle problems, along with M. Marin.
- Lecce:M. Berisha has a thigh injury, K. Gaspar has a knee injury, and R. Sottil has a back problem. Additionally, S. Fofana is also unavailable.
Predicting the match scenario
Given the importance of the match and the low scoring rate of both teams, this is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. Pisa will be forced to push forward in search of hope, but this will also open up opportunities for Lecce's counter-attacks.
Experts predict a high probability of the match ending in a draw or a narrow victory for Lecce. The odds suggest a 90% chance of a draw or an away win, and that fewer than 3.5 goals will likely be scored.
Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 02/05/2026
Official lineup
Pisa
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachOscar Hiljemark
Starting lineup:
- 1. Adrian Šemper (G)
- 5. Simone Canestrelli (D)
- 4. Antonio Caracciolo (D)
- 2. Rosen Bozhinov (D)
- 7. Mehdi Léris (M)
- 21. Isak Vural (M)
- 14. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro (M)
- 20. Michel Aebischer (M)
- 3. Samuele Angori (M)
- 81. Filip Stojilković (F)
- 32. Stefano Moreo (F)
Substitutes:
- 12. Nicolas
- 22. Simone Scuffet
- 39. Raúl Albiol
- 26. Francesco Coppola
- 33. Arturo Calabresi
- 99. Lorran
- 36. Gabriele Piccinini
- 8. Malthe Højholt
- 35. Felipe Loyola
- 23. Calvin Stein
- 11. Juan Cuadrado
- 15. Idrissa Touré
- 17. Rafiu Durosinmi
- 9. Henrik Wendel Meister
- 19. Samuel Iling Junior
Lecce
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachEusebio Di Francesco
Starting lineup:
- 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
- 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
- 5. Jamil Siebert (D)
- 44. Tiago Gabriel (D)
- 25. Antonino Gallo (D)
- 20. Ylber Ramadani (M)
- 29. Lassana Coulibaly (M)
- 50. Santiago Pierotti (M)
- 79. Oumar Ngom (M)
- 19. Lameck Banda (M)
- 99. Walid Cheddra (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Christian Früchtl
- 32. Jasper Samooja
- 3. Corrie Ndaba
- 13. Matías Pérez
- 18. Gaby Jean
- 16. Omri Gandelman
- 6. Alex Sala
- 28. Olaf Gorter
- 36. Filip Marchwiński
- 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
- 80. Niko Kovač
- 22. Francesco Camarda
- 11. N'Dri Konan
- 9. Nikola Štulić