Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction - Serie A
Fiorentina host Genoa at Stadio Artemio Franchi in a crucial clash in the lower half of the Serie A table, where both teams are striving to increase their lead over the relegation zone.
At 8:00 PM on May 10, 2026, Fiorentina will face Genoa in a Serie A match at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. This is a crucial match as the gap between the two teams is currently only 3 points.
Position on the leaderboard
Here is the current situation of the two clubs before this encounter:
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| net | 14 | 40 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
| Fiorentina | 16 | 37 | 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss |
Performance analysis and statistics
Fiorentina: Home advantage
Fiorentina are showing signs of improvement with an unbeaten run in recent rounds, specifically winning 2 and drawing 2 of their last 5 matches. Despite being in 16th place, the purple-clad team boasts a consistent goal-scoring record at their home stadium, Artemio Franchi.
- Efficiency:They average 1.1 goals per game and concede 1.4 goals per game.
- Home record:Four wins and seven draws after 35 rounds of matches.
Genoa: A challenge away from home.
Genoa are currently 14th with 40 points, a small lead over the home team. However, their form has been inconsistent, with two wins and two losses in their last five matches. On the road, Genoa have only managed four wins since the start of the season.
- Efficiency:Their average is 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.
- Overview:After 35 matches, they have 10 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses.
History of confrontations and forces
Head-to-head record
In their last five encounters, Fiorentina have a clear advantage, remaining unbeaten against Genoa with three wins and two draws. Notably, in the first leg, played in November 2025, the two teams shared the points in a dramatic 2-2 draw.
Personnel situation
Both teams are facing personnel losses due to injuries:
- Fiorentina:We are without our main striker Moise Kean due to a calf injury and Tariq Lamptey is having knee problems.
- Wu:Junior Messias is out with a muscle injury, and Norton-Cuffy has a thigh injury. Midfielder Baldanzi's participation is also uncertain due to a thigh problem.
Tactical analysis
With home advantage and a superior head-to-head record, Fiorentina is considered the favorite to control the game. Experts predict a 45% chance of the home team winning, while the probability of a draw is also around 45%. Genoa is expected to face significant difficulties and only have about a 10% chance of securing all three points in Florence.
Overall, this will be a tight match. Fiorentina, with their high-pressing style of play, may be able to exploit the weaknesses in Genoa's depleted defense to secure at least one point.