Market

Coffee prices today, July 20, 2026, saw a slight increase, with London robusta maintaining its upward trend.

Quoc Duan July 20, 2026 11:06

Coffee prices today, July 20, 2026, reached 97,500–98,000 VND/kg; London robusta increased but New York arabica decreased by nearly 4% this week.

Domestic market price returns to 98,000 VND/kg.

Coffee prices in the Central Highlands rose across the board on the morning of July 20th, increasing by 100 to 300 VND/kg. The new purchase price was established at around 97,500–98,000 VND/kg, an average increase of approximately 200 VND/kg.

Dak Lak recorded an increase of 300 VND/kg compared to July 19th, bringing the trading price to 98,000 VND/kg. This is also the price recorded in Gia Lai after that locality increased its price by 300 VND/kg.

The former Dak Nong region remains among the market leaders with a price of 98,000 VND/kg. The price here increased by 100 VND/kg, lower than the adjustments in the other three localities.

Lam Dong saw an increase of 300 VND/kg but still has the lowest purchase price. Coffee in this locality is currently trading at 97,500 VND/kg, 500 VND/kg lower than Dak Lak, Gia Lai, and the former Dak Nong region.

The simultaneous increase across the board helped the domestic market regain positive momentum. However, the correction range was not large, so the next trend still largely depends on robusta prices on the London exchange.

Robusta rose slightly after a week of trading.

At the end of last week, the September 2026 robusta contract on the London exchange reached $3,877 per ton, an increase of $25 per ton, or 0.6%.

The November 2026 contract rose $10/tonne, closing at $3,829/tonne. The spread between the two contracts was $48/tonne, with the closer contract continuing to trade at a higher level.

This development is favorable for Vietnamese coffee prices because robusta is the main product of the domestic market. When the London exchange maintains its upward trend, purchasing prices in the Central Highlands usually receive support, especially during periods when supplies from the previous crop are no longer abundant.

Arabica prices fell by more than 4% this week.

The New York exchange moved in the opposite direction. The price of arabica futures for September 2026 fell 4.2%, or 14 US cents per pound, to 320.3 US cents per pound.

The December 2026 contract lost 12.2 US cents per pound, or 3.9%, to 303.8 US cents per pound.

The decline in arabica prices contrasts sharply with robusta prices. Profit-taking pressure and expectations regarding the Brazilian crop may have triggered a correction in this coffee sector after a period of trading at higher levels.

However, new weather forecasts in Brazil are making the supply outlook more unpredictable. If actual production is lower than expected, arabica could soon receive renewed support.

Brazil's record of 66.7 million bags is at risk.

Conab forecasts Brazil could produce 66.7 million bags of coffee this year, the highest level ever. Each bag weighs 60 kg and includes both arabica and canephora varieties.

The forecast is at risk of being revised if El Niño continues to cause heatwaves and alter rainfall patterns. Abic representatives estimate that losses could reach 15–20% of the crop yield.

Extreme weather conditions not only impact overall yield but also affect quality. Uneven ripening of coffee cherries complicates harvesting, increasing fruit drop rates and reducing bean uniformity.

In Minas Gerais, unseasonal rainfall exceeding 50 mm in some arabica-growing regions has slowed harvesting. A significant amount of fruit has fallen to the ground, raising the risk of quality degradation.

Espirito Santo also experiences prolonged dry spells interspersed with short but intense rain showers. Local farmers are concerned that the hot and dry weather could continue until January 2027, directly affecting grain formation.

High temperatures pose a particular risk to canephora. When temperatures exceed 27°C, growth begins to slow; at around 35°C, the plant's metabolic activity can almost cease.

Irrigation systems have helped reduce damage in some areas.

The Brazilian coffee industry has invested heavily in irrigation and climate adaptation technologies. Many robusta growing regions now have active water supply systems, and some even use cooling measures for their plantations.

Rondonia is one of the regions with more positive prospects. Farmers in the state expect a yield of around 3 million bags, higher than Conab's forecast of 2.77 million bags.

The ability to proactively manage water resources means that robusta coffee in northern Brazil is less affected by impacts compared to arabica coffee in areas without widespread irrigation systems.

Coffee prices may continue to fluctuate.

Coffee prices today, July 20, 2026, increased across all surveyed areas but have not yet formed a strong breakout. The rise in Robusta in London is a supportive signal, while the decline in Arabica in New York may limit buying sentiment.

In the short term, the 98,000 VND/kg level remains a key point to watch. If robusta prices remain above 3,800 USD/ton and weather warnings in Brazil increase, coffee prices in the Central Highlands could stay at a high level.

Quoc Duan