History of Timor Leste vs Indonesia encounters: Garuda completely dominates at the 2026 AFF Cup.
With six consecutive wins and a 90% win rate according to Opta, Indonesia holds a clear advantage over Timor Leste in the third match of Group A of the AFF Cup 2026 at Chonburi Stadium.
The match between Timor Leste and Indonesia in the third round of Group A of the AFF Cup 2026, taking place at 5:00 PM on July 31, 2026, at Chonburi Stadium (Thailand), reflects a significant difference in skill level. Possessing a perfect head-to-head record and a superior squad, the Indonesian team aims to secure all three points to gain an advantage in the race for the top spot in the group.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Indonesia.
History records the complete dominance of Indonesian football over Timor Leste. In 6 encounters at the national team level, the Indonesian team has won all 6 matches. Indonesian strikers have scored a total of 21 goals against their opponents, averaging 3.5 goals per game, while their defense has only conceded 2 goals.
The gap in skill between the two teams is also clearly reflected in the FIFA rankings. Indonesia is currently ranked 118th in the world, 83 places higher than Timor Leste (ranked 201st). According to data analysis from the Opta supercomputer, Indonesia's probability of winning is 90%, the chance of a draw is 7.9%, while Timor Leste's chance of causing an upset is only 2.2%.
The contrast in form in Group A.
Timor Leste entered this match after two consecutive defeats against Vietnam (0-7) and Singapore (0-2). Coach José Pedro's team faced many difficulties in both defense and attack, having conceded 9 goals and yet to score their first goal of the tournament. Across two matches, Timor Leste only managed a mere 7 shots, with only 1 on target.
Conversely, Indonesia had a strong start at the AFF Cup 2026, defeating Cambodia 5-1. The "Garuda" team demonstrated superior control of the game with 67% possession and 15 shots on goal. A highlight of Indonesia's performance was the impressive form of striker Mitchell Baker, who scored a hat-trick on his national team debut, alongside goals from Sandy Walsh and Jens Raven.
Team news and expected lineup
In terms of squad strength, Timor Leste boasts a full squad and continues to place its faith in young players to gain international experience. Meanwhile, Indonesia will be without defender Shayne Pattynama due to injury. Nevertheless, the Indonesian head coach still possesses many quality players in various positions, such as Thom Haye, Ivar Jenner, Marc Klok, and Eliano Reijnders.
Predicted lineup:
- Timor Leste:Dylan Niski; Jackson Pereira, Eric Tomas T. Silva, Luis Figo Pereira Ribeiro, Claudio Gomes Osorio; Joao Rangel, Zenivio Mota, Xavi Arrarte; Zion Cruz, Ryan Harris Jom, Liam Farrugia.
- Indonesia:Nadeo Argawinata; Rizky Ridho, Sandy Walsh, Dony Tri Pamungkas, Brian Fatari; Thom Haye, Marc Klok, Beckham Putra, Ivar Jenner; Eliano Reijnders, Mitchell Baker.
Match organization information
| Category | Detailed information |
|---|---|
| Match | Timor Leste vs Indonesia |
| Tournament | Matchday 3, Group A - AFF Cup 2026 |
| Time | 5:00 PM on July 31, 2026 |
| Location | Chonburi Stadium (Thailand) |
| Broadcasting channel | VTV6 |
The match at Chonburi Stadium presents a favorable opportunity for Indonesia to extend their winning streak against Timor Leste, thereby consolidating their position and improving their goal difference before the crucial next matches in Group A.