Assessing Athletic Bilbao's chances of winning against MU: Don't trust the Red Devils.
The Europa League semi-final match between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United promises to be dramatic, as both teams are eager to reach the final, but the advantage is currently leaning towards San Mames.
The first leg of the Europa League semi-final between Athletic Bilbao and Manchester United, taking place at 2:00 AM on May 2nd (Vietnam time), is considered the most anticipated match of this round. Both teams possess many outstanding individuals, impressive form in continental competitions, and a determination to win the championship, but they enter this battle under very different circumstances.
Manchester United: Experience and European prowess
Manchester United reached the Europa League semi-finals for the 18th time in history, after a thrilling quarter-final run where they overcame Lyon with a 7-6 aggregate score. Bruno Fernandes – who has been involved in 29 goals in Europa League knockout matches – continues to be a key player in midfield, amidst a squad missing several key players due to injury. Despite their less-than-impressive Premier League form, Ruben Amorim's team remains unbeaten in European competition this season, having scored 28 goals – the most in the competition.
However, a depleted squad is a major obstacle. The absence of Dalot, Martinez, Zirkzee, and many other key players has significantly weakened MU's strength. Meanwhile, the defense – despite their efforts – still fails to inspire confidence.
Athletic Bilbao: Home advantage and historical belief
On the other side of the pitch, Athletic Bilbao are having a fantastic season. They have won all six of their home matches in the Europa League this season, scoring 14 goals and conceding only two. Nico Williams – a promising young star – has contributed to at least one goal in every game at San Mames, and together with his brother Inaki Williams, they form a highly dangerous attacking duo.
Furthermore, Ernesto Valverde's team has squad stability, good physical condition thanks to the weekend rest, and especially the home advantage – where both the first leg and the final will be played if they advance.
In the past, Bilbao also had a slightly better head-to-head record with three wins in four encounters with MU. The last time the two teams met was in the 2011/12 season, when Bilbao won both legs and advanced to the final.
Chances of winning
Manchester United have experience and composure in European competitions, but they are facing a number of challenges: a packed schedule, a depleted squad, and inconsistent form. Meanwhile, Athletic Bilbao are in good form, have home advantage, and a nearly full-strength squad.
The match promises to be tense and emotional, but considering the current circumstances, Bilbao has a strong chance of winning the first leg.
Expert prediction:
- Sportsmole: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 MU
- WhoScore: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 MU
- Nghe An Newspaper: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 MU
Chances of winning the first leg: Athletic Bilbao: 60% – MU: 40%