Market

Coffee price today 9/10/2025: Turning to increase

Quoc Duong September 10, 2025 04:40

Coffee prices on September 10 were at 114,500 - 115,600 VND/kg. Prices turned around and increased from 2,300 to 2,500 VND/kg. Tight inventories, concerns about coffee supply from the US

Domestic coffee prices today

Domestic coffee prices today, September 10, 2025, in the Central Highlands region turned to increase from 2,300 to 2,500 VND/kg, fluctuating between 114,500 - 115,600 VND/kg.

Accordingly, traders in the old Dak Nong region are purchasing coffee at the highest price of 115,600 VND/kg, an increase of 2,300 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Similarly, coffee price in Dak Lak province is 115,500 VND/kg, an increase of 2,300 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Coffee prices in Gia Lai province increased by VND2,500/kg compared to yesterday and were traded at VND115,300/kg.

In Lam Dong province, coffee prices increased by VND2,500/kg compared to yesterday and are at VND114,500/kg.

Giá cà phê hôm nay 10/9/2025: Quay đầu tăng cao

Coffee prices have risen sharply thanks to expectations of a Fed rate cut and new moves from the White House on import tariffs. Market expert Nguyen Quang Binh said the main factor was the expectation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates sharply. This move helps reduce the cost of capital, encouraging large cash flows into commodity exchanges, including coffee.

Another notable move comes from Washington. President Donald Trump has just issued an executive order that gives the administration flexibility in bilateral trade agreements. The order aims to reduce or eliminate tariffs on certain products.

Coffee falls into this category as the US has to import up to 99% of its processing and consumption needs. That opens up the possibility that this item will be considered for import tax reduction in the near future.

Currently, the US coffee import tax is at 50%, much higher than some other countries. Vietnam imposes a tax of 20%, while Indonesia has a tax of 19%. If the US relaxes the tax on coffee, this will be a positive signal for exporting countries, including Vietnam.

World coffee prices today

On the London Stock Exchange, the online price of Robusta coffee futures for September 2025 delivery reached $4,646/ton, unchanged from yesterday. The November 2025 futures contract decreased by 0.02% (1 USD/ton) to $4,429/ton.

gia-ca-phe-truc-tuyen-san-london-new-york-bmf-brazil-09-09-2025_09_41_pm.png

On the New York Stock Exchange, the price of Arabica coffee for September 2025 delivery increased by 0.87% (3.45 US cents/pound) compared to yesterday, to 401.25 US cents/pound. The contract for December 2025 delivery increased by 0.61% (2.35 US cents/pound), to 387.2 US cents/pound.

gia-ca-phe-truc-tuyen-san-london-new-york-bmf-brazil-09-09-2025_09_42_pm.png

Global coffee prices continued to rise sharply due to drought in Brazil, reduced supply and trade tensions in the US market. In the Minas Gerais region, the main arabica growing area, there was almost no rain in the week ending September 6. The prolonged drought poses a major risk to the flowering stage, which determines the yield of the whole crop.

Conab previously lowered its 2025 arabica production forecast to 35.2 million bags, down nearly 5% from its May forecast. Brazil's total coffee production was also revised down slightly to 55.2 million bags.

The International Coffee Organization (ICO) reported that global coffee exports in July fell 1.6% compared to the same period last year, reaching only 11.6 million bags. The cumulative figure over 10 months also recorded a slight decrease of 0.3%, showing that the supply on the world market is shrinking.

The upward pressure on coffee prices is exacerbated by the fact that coffee inventories tracked by ICE are very low. Arabica stocks are only around 695,884 bags, close to the lowest level in the past 1.25 years. Robusta stocks are also hovering around the 1.5-month low of 6,644 lots.

Another important factor was the US imposition of a 50% tariff on coffee imports from Brazil. This decision forced many US importers to cancel new contracts, further tightening supply in a major consumer market and adding to the upward pressure on prices.

Quoc Duong