Coffee prices today, May 15, 2025: Rising sharply again.
Today, May 15th, domestic coffee prices are at 128,000 - 128,500 VND/kg. Domestic coffee prices have sharply increased again by 2,400 to 2,500 VND/kg compared to yesterday. Coffee prices are still supported by several risk factors, especially the drought situation in Brazil.
Domestic coffee prices today
Domestic coffee prices in the Central Highlands region today, May 15, 2025, have risen sharply again compared to yesterday, fluctuating between 128,000 and 128,500 VND/kg.
Accordingly, traders in Dak Nong province are buying coffee at the highest price of 128,500 VND/kg, a sharp increase of 2,500 VND/kg compared to yesterday.
Similarly, the price of coffee in Dak Lak province is 128,500 VND/kg, an increase of 2,500 VND/kg compared to yesterday.
Coffee prices in Gia Lai province increased by 2,400 VND/kg and are trading at 128,400 VND/kg.
Meanwhile, in Lam Dong province, the price of coffee increased by 2,500 VND/kg and reached 128,000 VND/kg.
One positive development is that Vietnam has been added to the list of countries eligible to ship under the “C” coffee futures contract from April 1st, with a shipment of 37,500 pounds of arabica. This increases flexibility in the global coffee supply chain and helps alleviate concerns about shortages at destination ports.
Coffee remains a commodity with stable demand thanks to its product diversity and price segments, helping to maintain high prices even during periods of market volatility. The market expects that if the US completely eliminates tariffs, coffee prices could continue to rise without affecting consumer demand.
The phenomenon of spot coffee prices being higher than futures prices indicates that the market is in a reversal phase, reflecting short-term supply and demand tensions.
World coffee prices today
Coffee prices on the world market have fallen sharply on both exchanges:
Robusta coffee (London):
July 2025 delivery: Decreased by $136/ton, to $4,993/ton.
September 2025 delivery: Down $120/ton, to $4,971/ton.
Arabica coffee (New York):
July 2025 delivery: Down 11.75 cents/lb, to 364.6 cents/lb.
September 2025 delivery: Down 10.65 cents/lb, to 361.6 cents/lb.
In Brazil, agricultural consulting firm Safras & Mercado has raised its forecast for coffee production in the 2025-2026 season to 65.51 million bags, a significant increase from the previous figure of 62.45 million bags. At the same time, Brazil's Conab agency also adjusted its 2025 coffee production forecast to 55.7 million bags, 3.8 million bags higher than its January forecast. These figures indicate positive growth in Brazil's coffee supply.
Global coffee inventory levels have also improved significantly. According to the latest figures, robusta coffee stocks under ICE's supervision have reached their highest level in three and a half months, at 4,507 lots. Arabica stocks also increased to 844,473 bags, the highest level in nearly three months as of the middle of last week.
Nevertheless, coffee prices are still supported by several risk factors, particularly the drought in Brazil. In Minas Gerais state, the largest arabica-growing region, rainfall in the week ending May 10th reached only 0.8 mm, equivalent to 16% of the average. If the drought continues, coffee yields could be affected, thereby putting pressure on global coffee supply and prices.
