A narrow window of opportunity for Donald Trump.

(Baonghean) - If the US presidential election were held now, Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton would have an overwhelming 93% chance of winning, while Donald Trump's chance would be only 7%. This information was published by international media last weekend based on the Upshot analysis and forecasting tool. With only two weeks left until the final "showdown," analysts believe that Donald Trump's situation is extremely difficult, and his victory depends heavily on an element of surprise.

"Complete defeat"

According to the latest polls since the third televised debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, Clinton is currently leading Trump by a significant margin of 12 percentage points. This lead has been steadily increasing after each televised debate.

US presidential candidates always view live debates as an opportunity to win the votes of undecided voters. However, Donald Trump failed to do so, even making "fatal mistakes" that caused many to turn their backs on him, even within the Republican Party.

Hillary Clinton has a chance of winning in most states. Photo: New York Times.

According to analysts, in all three debates, Donald Trump revealed his biggest weakness: a lack of political experience. He may be a good orator, a media star, someone who makes blunt, shocking, even extreme statements – qualities that set him apart from most presidential candidates before – but he lacks the experience to put himself in the position of a U.S. President.

Meanwhile, during the live debates, both Clinton and Trump faced questions from the moderator in a scenario where they were the leaders of the United States. Therefore, Trump's public speaking skills were insufficient to compensate for his weakness against Clinton, who was considered sharp, gentle, perceptive, capable of winning over the masses, and especially possessing extensive political experience.

Donald Trump's poor performance has had immediate consequences, with his approval ratings plummeting in opinion polls. Surveys in early-voting states also show Hillary Clinton holding an advantage.

Meanwhile, election results analysis tools show that Clinton currently has an overwhelming 93% chance of winning. This figure has changed dramatically compared to early June 2016, when the support rates for Clinton and Trump were very close at 52% and 48% respectively.

In all the most crucial states, Trump only slightly leads Clinton in Iowa and Ohio, while Clinton holds the advantage in the rest. In particular, Trump has extremely little chance in several states, such as 7% in Colorado, 5% in New Hampshire, 4% in Wisconsin and Michigan, and 3% in Minnesota…

Bet on the unexpected.

With just over two weeks remaining until the US presidential election on November 8th, both candidates are actively conducting their final campaign rallies in key swing states such as Ohio, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Florida.

Hillary Clinton's task in this final stretch is considered relatively easy: to maintain her current advantage, strengthen her personal image, and of course, avoid any missteps, especially in the face of attacks related to her personal emails.

Conversely, Donald Trump will have to exert all his strength if he wants to salvage the situation. He will have to try to appear friendly again to appeal to sympathy and forgiveness for his mistakes in the debates, especially his unsympathetic attitude towards immigrants and women.

Trump's campaign will have a tough time preventing the public, the media, and even his opponents' campaigns from continuing to focus on his rudeness towards women following the 2005 video leak. Furthermore, he will need to clarify his handling of major national issues, which have been criticized in debates as piecemeal and lacking a comprehensive strategy.

Donald Trump is currently trailing Hillary Clinton by a considerable margin. Photo: Orden On Politics.

Donald Trump appears to be taking this step correctly, having announced his "100 Days as President" plan in a speech in Pennsylvania last weekend – a plan considered the most detailed in his campaign to date covering political, security, economic, and trade issues.

However, he seems to be making the same mistake again when it comes to issues related to women. Instead of showing remorse for his inappropriate remarks about women, or adopting a more conciliatory approach to allegations of sexual assault, he announced he would sue all those who accused him after the election. Experts believe this statement will only further cost him the support of "half the world."

Although all indications at this point point to Hillary Clinton as the winner of the November 8th election, "surprises" have always been a hallmark of American elections, causing many underdog candidates to suddenly emerge as winners.

The very fact that Donald Trump became the Republican Party's nominee in the final stretch of the race is a huge surprise in this year's election. Besides the element of surprise, Donald Trump could also win votes from those who are currently undecided, or from Republican members who have historically opposed him but cannot turn their backs on their party at this crucial moment. Therefore, there is still a "narrow window" for Donald Trump to enter the White House.

Thuy Ngoc