AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction - Serie A: Rossoneri consolidate top 2 position
In Serie A, AC Milan will host Genoa at San Siro with the goal of chasing the top spot, while the visitors are striving to secure points to escape the relegation zone.
The match between AC Milan and Genoa will take place at 02:45 on January 9, 2026, at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. This is a clash of completely contrasting statuses and forms between the two teams in Italy's top league.
Contrasting positions on the leaderboard
Currently, AC Milan is firmly in second place in the league table with 38 points after 17 rounds. The Rossoneri are showing incredible consistency in the title race. Conversely, Genoa is ranked 17th with only 15 points, barely enough to avoid relegation and is under immense pressure from their rivals behind them.
| Team | Location | Point | form |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 2 | 38 | 4 wins, 1 draw |
| net | 17 | 15 | Win 1, Draw 1, Loss 3 |
Analyzing form and strength
AC Milan: Strength at San Siro
AC Milan enter this match in impressive form, having won 4 of their last 5 games. Since the start of the season, the team at San Siro has won 11 matches, including 6 home victories. Milan's attack maintains an average of 1.6 goals per game, while their defense is extremely well-organized, conceding only an average of 0.8 goals per game.
This consistency makes Milan one of the most difficult teams to beat in the league at the moment. In particular, their ability to control the game at their home stadium, Giuseppe Meazza, is always a powerful weapon for the Rossoneri.
Genoa: A challenge to avoid relegation.
In contrast to the home team, Genoa is experiencing a turbulent season. After 18 matches, they have only managed 3 wins and suffered 9 defeats. Genoa's biggest weakness lies in their defense, having conceded 28 goals (an average of 1.6 goals per game). Although they have secured 2 away wins this season, facing a resurgent Milan is too much of a challenge for the Genoa-based team.
Historically, the Rossoneri have the advantage in head-to-head encounters.
The head-to-head history in the last 5 matches heavily favors AC Milan. The Milanese team is unbeaten against Genoa with 3 wins and 2 draws. Notably, in their most recent encounter in May 2025, Milan won 2-1 away from home.
- May 6, 2025: Genoa 1 - 2 AC Milan
- December 16, 2024: AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa
- May 5, 2024: AC Milan 3 - 3 Genoa
- October 8, 2023: Genoa 0 - 1 AC Milan
- April 16, 2022: AC Milan 2 - 0 Genoa
Tactical analysis and predictions
With the home advantage and a superior squad, AC Milan is expected to proactively control possession and apply pressure right from the opening whistle. Genoa will likely drop deep to play defensively and counter-attack in an attempt to secure a valuable draw.
Based on statistics, the odds of AC Milan winning are very high. A win or draw for the home team is considered the most likely scenario. Experts predict that Genoa's defense will have to work at full capacity to stop the attacking power of the Rossoneri.
Predicted result:AC Milan win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 02:08 on 09/01/2026
Official lineup
AC Milan
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachMassimiliano Allegri
Starting lineup:
- 16. Mike Maignan (G)
- 23. Fikayo Tomori (D)
- 46. Matteo Gabbia (D)
- 31. Strahinja Pavlovicć (D)
- 56. Alexis Saelemaekers (M)
- 19. Youssouf Fofana (M)
- 14. Luka Modrić (M)
- 12. Adrien Rabiot (M)
- 33. Davide Bartesaghi (M)
- 10. Rafael Leão (F)
- 11. Christian Pulišić (F)
Substitutes:
- 96. Lorenzo Torriani
- 1. Pietro Terracciano
- 27. David Odogu
- 2. Pervis Estupiñán
- 24. Zachary Athekame
- 5. Koni De Winter
- 8. Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- 30. Ardon Jashari
- 4. Samuel Ricci
- 38. Alex Castello
- 9. Niclas Füllkrug
net
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachDaniele De Rossi
Starting lineup:
- 1. Nicola Leani (G)
- 27. Alessandro Marcandalli (D)
- 5. Leo Østigård (D)
- 22. Johan Vásquez (D)
- 15. Brooke Norton-Cuffy (M)
- 17. Ruslan Malinovskyi (M)
- 32. Morten Frendrop (M)
- 2. Morten Thorsby (M)
- 3. Aarón Martín (M)
- 9. Vitinha (F)
- 29. Lorenzo Colombo (F)
Substitutes:
- 39. Daniele Sommariva
- 35. Ernestas Lysionok
- 20. Stefano Sabelli
- 34. Sebastian Otoa
- 30. Hugo Cuenca
- 8. Nicolae Stanciu
- 73. Patrizio Masini
- 76. Lorenzo Venturino
- 40. Seydou Fini
- 77. Mikael Ellertsson
- 21. Jeff Ekhator
- 86. Joi Xheto Nuredini
