Alaves vs Athletic Club Prediction - La Liga
Alaves holds the home advantage at Mendizorrotza Stadium in their match against Athletic Club, a team currently experiencing a slump in away form in La Liga this season.
The match between Alaves and Athletic Club will take place at 11:30 PM on May 2nd, 2026 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, with the home team desperately needing points to escape the relegation zone. With home advantage and an impressive recent head-to-head record, Alaves is expected to pose a significant challenge to the visiting team from the Basque Country.
Current league position and form
In the La Liga standings, Athletic Club currently sits in 10th place with 41 points after 33 rounds. However, their form is showing signs of stagnation, having lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Conversely, Alaves, despite being in 17th place with 36 points, is showing commendable effort in the relegation battle.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 10 | 41 | Win 2, Loss 3 |
| Alives | 17 | 36 | 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss |
The Mendizorrotza home advantage and Athletic Club's away game challenge.
The Estadio Mendizorrotza stadium is proving to be a strong home ground for Alaves. Of their nine wins this season, six have come at home. The team has also maintained a consistent scoring record there, averaging 1.2 goals per game.
In contrast to the home team, Athletic Club is showing a weak performance whenever they play away from home. They have suffered 10 defeats in their away matches this season. With their defense conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, Athletic Club will face immense pressure against Alaves' pragmatic style of play.
The head-to-head history favors the home team.
The head-to-head history in the last 5 matches favors Alaves. Notably, in the two most recent encounters in July and September 2025, Alaves secured narrow victories against Athletic Club. The general trend for this match-up is that there are usually not many goals, as both teams prioritize defensive safety.
- September 13, 2025: Athletic Club 0 - 1 Alaves
- July 23, 2025: Alaves 1 - 0 Athletic Club
- May 11, 2025: Athletic Club 1 - 0 Alaves
- December 15, 2024: Alaves 1 - 1 Athletic Club
- March 17, 2024: Athletic Club 2 - 0 Alaves
Tactical analysis and prediction
Based on the available data, Alaves will most likely approach the match with a proactive counter-attacking strategy. The absence of key injury players on both sides allows both coaches to field their best possible teams. However, the motivation to avoid relegation will be a key factor in giving Alaves the upper hand.
This match is predicted to have few goals (under 2.5). With a 90% probability of the home team winning or drawing, Athletic Club has a high chance of leaving empty-handed if they don't improve their away form.
