Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction - Premier League: A Challenge for the Top Team
Arsenal host Burnley at the Emirates Stadium as the title race enters its crucial stages, with the visitors striving to secure points to escape the relegation zone.
At 2:00 AM on May 19, 2026, Arsenal will host Burnley at the Emirates Stadium in the 36th round of the Premier League. This match features a significant disparity in status, with the home team leading the league table and the visitors facing relegation, currently sitting in 19th place.
02:00 on May 19, 2026 - Premier League Round 36
Arsenal enter this match aiming for nothing less than three points to consolidate their top spot. Currently, the London team has 79 points after 36 matches. The Gunners boast an impressive home record with 14 wins in 18 games played at the Emirates. Conversely, Burnley are experiencing a difficult season, having only won 4 matches and remaining significantly behind the safety zone.
Current ranking position
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 79 | Win 3, Loss 2 |
| Burnley | 19 | 21 | Draw 1, Loss 4 |
Performance analysis and statistics
Arsenal's attack is performing quite effectively, averaging 1.9 goals per game (68 goals in total). However, Mikel Arteta's team's biggest strength lies in their defense, having conceded only 26 goals since the start of the season, an average of 0.7 goals conceded per game. Their form in the last five matches has shown signs of slowing down with two losses, but their home advantage remains a significant obstacle for any opponent.
On the other side of the pitch, Burnley are facing a difficult challenge on both ends of the field. The visitors have conceded 73 goals, an average of 2.0 goals per game. On the road, Burnley have only managed 2 wins in 18 away matches. With only one point gained in their last 5 games, it will be very difficult for Burnley's manager to pull off an upset.
Arsenal's superior head-to-head record
The head-to-head history heavily favors the home team at the Emirates Stadium. In the last five encounters, Arsenal have won four times and drawn only once. Specifically:
- November 1, 2025: Burnley 0 - 2 Arsenal
- February 17, 2024: Burnley 0 - 5 Arsenal
- November 11, 2023: Arsenal 3 - 1 Burnley
- January 23, 2022: Arsenal 0 - 0 Burnley
- September 18, 2021: Burnley 0 - 1 Arsenal
Team situation and lineup
Arsenal are facing some losses in defense and midfield. M. Merino (foot injury), J. Timber (ankle injury) and B. White (knee injury) are definitely out. In addition, R. Calafiori's availability remains uncertain due to an unspecified injury.
On Burnley's side, they will also be missing two key players: J. Beyer due to a hamstring injury and J. Cullen due to a knee problem.
Analysis and predictions
Based on current statistics and strength, Arsenal is considered the team with the highest chance of winning. Although simulations show the home team's win rate and draw rate are equal (50%), with home advantage and the pressure of the title race, Arsenal usually knows how to overcome opponents at the bottom of the table.
Overall, this will be a match where Arsenal will proactively control the game from the start. Burnley may play defensively to seek a draw, but with a defense that has conceded over 70 goals, it will be difficult for them to withstand the pressure from the home team's strikers.
