AS Roma vs Cagliari Prediction - Serie A: A Challenge for Top 5 Ambitions
AS Roma host Cagliari at the Olimpico aiming to defend their fifth-place position in Serie A, despite a severely depleted squad due to injuries.
AS Roma will host Cagliari at the Stadio Olimpico at 02:45 on February 10, 2026, as part of a Serie A match. The game takes place as the Rome team strives to maintain their position in the top five, while Cagliari seeks points to improve their mid-table position.
Current league position and form
Currently, AS Roma is in 5th place with 43 points after 23 matches. The home team has maintained a fairly stable form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 rounds. In particular, the Olimpico stadium is a strong advantage for Roma's coach, as they have won 7 out of 11 matches there.
Conversely, Cagliari are currently in 12th place with 28 points. Despite being in the lower half of the table, the visitors are in impressive form, having won 3 of their last 5 matches. However, Cagliari's away form remains questionable, as they have only won 3 out of 12 away games this season.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 5 | 43 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Cagliari | 12 | 28 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
Staffing crisis at Stadio Olimpico
The biggest challenge for AS Roma in this match is their extensive injury list. The team will be missing a number of key players across all positions, including Artem Dovbyk (groin injury), Paulo Dybala (knee injury), and Mario Hermoso (hip injury). The absence of the attacking duo Dovbyk and Dybala will undoubtedly significantly impact the home team's goal-scoring performance.
On the other side of the pitch, Cagliari are in a similar predicament, having lost five key players due to injury. Notably, striker Andrea Belotti and defender Yerry Mina are both absent due to knee injuries. This will significantly reduce the depth of the visiting team's squad ahead of their challenging away match.
The following is a list of absentees:
- AS Roma:A. Dovbyk, P. Dybala, E. Ferguson, M. Hermoso, M. Kone, R. Vaz (Absent); S. El Shaarawy (Uncertain to play).
- Cagliari:A. Belotti, G. Borrelli, M. Felici, M. Folorunsho, Y. Mina (Absent).
Head-to-head history and tactical analysis
The head-to-head history favors AS Roma, with three wins, one draw, and only one loss in the last five encounters between the two teams. In their most recent match at the Olimpico in early 2024, Roma thrashed their opponents 4-0. However, Cagliari also managed to trouble their opponents, winning 1-0 in their previous meeting in December 2025.
In terms of statistics this season, AS Roma boasts a fairly good defense, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game. However, with their attack weakened, the match is predicted to be tight with few goals. Cagliari, with an attack scoring 1.2 goals per game, will try to capitalize on counter-attacks to spring a surprise in Rome.
Based on in-depth analysis, AS Roma is still considered the favorite with a 45% chance of winning thanks to home advantage and the composure of a superior team. However, a draw is also a fairly high possibility (45%) given that both teams are missing several key players who could make a difference.
