AS Roma vs Lazio Preview - A fiery Derby della Capitale in Serie A
The Rome derby takes place against the backdrop of AS Roma's strong push for a top-five spot, while Lazio faces a difficult personnel dilemma due to a wave of injuries.
The Derby della Capitale between AS Roma and Lazio, scheduled for 5:00 PM on May 17, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico, is a clash not only for pride but also for the home team's Champions League aspirations. With their impressive form in the final stages of the season, AS Roma has a great opportunity to overcome their arch-rivals, who are weakened by squad losses.
AS Roma's dominant position in the league table.
Ahead of matchday 37, AS Roma are firmly consolidating their 5th position in the league table with 67 points after 36 games. The team in maroon has shown incredibly consistent form, winning 21 matches since the start of the season, including 12 victories at their home ground, Stadio Olimpico.
In contrast, Lazio is experiencing a turbulent season. The visitors currently sit 9th with 51 points, 16 points behind their city rivals. Despite 13 wins, 11 losses have left the Roman side with virtually no chance of competing for a European cup spot next season.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 5 | 67 | 4 wins, 1 draw |
| Lazio | 9 | 51 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
Form and attacking power
AS Roma is maintaining an impressive scoring record, averaging 1.5 goals per game (55 goals in total). Notably, their defense is also extremely disciplined, conceding only 31 goals in 36 league matches, equivalent to 0.9 goals per game. Their form in the last 5 matches is proof of this consistency, with 4 wins and only 1 draw.
On the other side of the pitch, Lazio showed signs of fatigue at both ends of the field. Their scoring efficiency only reached 1.1 goals per game (39 goals), while their defense conceded 37 goals. Lazio's away record is also not very promising, with only 6 wins in their away matches this season.
The history of their rivalry favors the team in the maroon jersey.
In the last five encounters between the two teams, AS Roma has a clear advantage with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss. In the first leg in September 2025, AS Roma secured a narrow 1-0 victory away at Lazio. The psychological advantage from these consecutive favorable results in recent derby matches will be a major boost for the home team.
- September 21, 2025: Lazio 0 - 1 AS Roma
- April 14, 2025: Lazio 1 - 1 AS Roma
- January 6, 2025: AS Roma 2 - 0 Lazio
- April 6, 2024: AS Roma 1 - 0 Lazio
- January 11, 2024: Lazio 1 - 0 AS Roma
Team news: Crisis at Lazio
Lazio entered the derby with a severely depleted squad. The absence of key goalkeeper I. Provedel due to a shoulder injury and main defender A. Romagnoli due to suspension was an irreplaceable blow to the defense. Furthermore, the absence of important players like M. Zaccagni (knee injury) and Patric (muscle injury) would leave Lazio's play disjointed.
On AS Roma's side, they will also be without E. Ferguson due to an ankle injury. B. Zaragoza's availability remains uncertain due to a knee problem. However, compared to Lazio, Roma's squad depth is still sufficient for them to maintain their desired tactical structure.
Tactical analysis and predictions
Based on statistical data, AS Roma is considered the clear favorite with a 50% chance of winning and a 50% chance of drawing, while Lazio's chances of winning are almost zero. AS Roma is likely to take the initiative from the start to try and score an early goal.
The match is predicted to be low-scoring due to the tense nature of a derby, with expectations of AS Roma scoring under 2.5 goals and Lazio scoring under 1.5 goals. A safe bet for this match would be an AS Roma win or a draw.
