Aston Villa vs Everton Prediction - Premier League Round 22
Aston Villa are aiming to solidify their position in the top three when they host tough opponents Everton at Villa Park, amidst significant squad losses for both teams.
The clash between Aston Villa and Everton will take place at 11:30 PM on January 18, 2026, at Villa Park. This is an opportunity for the home team's manager to consolidate their position in the leading group and widen the gap with their rivals in the race for a Champions League spot.
Current league position and form
Currently, Aston Villa sits in third place with 43 points after 21 rounds. The team at Villa Park is maintaining impressive form with 13 wins, including 8 wins recorded at home. Their goal-scoring record is also very consistent with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
| Team | Location | Point | form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 3 | 43 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Everton | 12 | 29 | 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses |
On the other side of the pitch, Everton are currently 12th with 29 points. The Merseyside team is going through a period of inconsistent form, having only won 1 of their last 5 matches. However, Everton's away form should not be underestimated, with 4 away wins since the start of the season.
Analyzing the strengths of the attack and defense.
Aston Villa's defense is highly rated, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Their positive goal difference of 9 indicates a balanced playing style for the home team. Meanwhile, Everton possesses a relatively solid defense compared to teams in the lower half of the table (conceding 1.2 goals per game), but their attack is a challenge, scoring only an average of 1.1 goals per game.
History of confrontations: An unbelievable balance
Statistics from the last five encounters between the two teams reveal a dramatic and unpredictable nature of the matches. Aston Villa has a slight edge with two wins, while Everton has secured one victory, and the two teams have drawn twice.
- 13/09/2025:Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa
- 16/01/2025:Everton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
- 14/09/2024:Aston Villa 3 - 2 Everton
- 14/01/2024:Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa
- 28/09/2023:Aston Villa 1 - 2 Everton
Notably, matches between these two clubs are often low-scoring affairs, with 3 out of 5 games ending with a total score of no more than 1 goal.
Force situation and personnel losses
Both teams enter this match with lengthy injury lists, which will directly impact the coaches' ability to implement their tactics.
Aston Villa: The midfield dilemma
The home team will be missing several key players, including Alysson, B. Kamara, and A. Onana, due to injury. In particular, Ross Barkley will also be unavailable due to a knee injury. The availability of first-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez remains a big question mark; this would be a huge loss if he doesn't recover in time.
Everton: Severe personnel crisis
The visiting team faced even greater difficulties with the loss of seven players. Seamus Coleman and Dewsbury-Hall were absent due to hamstring injuries. Michael Keane was suspended after receiving a red card. In addition, the duo of Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye had to leave the team to fulfill their national duties. T. Iroegbunam was also not fit enough to play.
Analysis and prediction of results
Based on home advantage and their current league position, Aston Villa are considered more likely to win at 45%. However, the odds of a draw are also at a similar 45%, reflecting the frustrating nature of Everton's deep-lying defensive style.
In terms of the scoreline, the match is predicted to be low-scoring. The home team is expected to score under 2.5 goals and the away team under 1.5 goals. A safe bet for this match would be a home win or a draw (Double chance).
Team lineup updated at 22:53 on 18/01/2026
Official lineup
Aston Villa
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachUnai Emery
Starting lineup:
- 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
- 2. Matty Cash (D)
- 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
- 14. Pau Torres (D)
- 22. Ian Maatsen (D)
- 26. Lamare Bogarde (M)
- 8. Youri Tielemans (M)
- 7. John McGinn (M)
- 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
- 10. Emiliano Buendía (M)
- 11. Ollie Watkins (F)
Substitutes:
- 40. Marco Bizot
- 64. James Wright
- 3. Victor Lindelöf
- 12. Lucas Digne
- 16. Andrés García
- 5. Tyrone Mings
- 53. George Hemmings
- 20. Jamaldeen Jimoh
- 29. Evann Guessand
Everton
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachLeighton Baines
Starting lineup:
- 1. Jordan Pickford (G)
- 2. Nathan Patterson (D)
- 6. James Tarkowski (D)
- 15. Jake O'Brien (D)
- 16. Vitaliy Mykolenko (D)
- 34. Merlin Röhl (M)
- 37. James Garner (M)
- 7. Dwight McNeil (M)
- 45. Harrison Armstrong (M)
- 18. Jack Grealish (M)
- 11. Thierno Barry (F)
Substitutes:
- 12. Mark Travers
- 31. Tom King
- 23. Séamus Coleman
- 39. Adam Aznou
- 64. Reece Welch
- 73. Elijah Campbell
- 20. Tyler Dibling
- 9. Beto
