Aston Villa vs West Ham Prediction - Premier League
Aston Villa are looking to defend their top-four spot as they host West Ham, who are struggling in the relegation battle, in their Premier League match on March 22, 2026.
Aston Villa will host West Ham at 9:15 PM on March 22, 2026 at Villa Park. The home team currently sits in 4th place with 51 points, while West Ham is 18th with 29 points after 30 rounds of matches.
Contrasting positions on the leaderboard
The clash at Villa Park is crucial for both teams' goals at opposite ends of the league table. Aston Villa currently sit at the bottom of the Champions League qualification spots, but their recent form has shown signs of stagnation with 3 losses, 1 draw, and only 1 win in their last 5 matches. However, their home ground remains a strong advantage, having secured 9 victories there since the start of the season.
Conversely, West Ham are sinking deeper into the relegation battle. Sitting 18th, the visitors are under immense psychological pressure to escape the bottom three. Their form in their last five matches, consisting of one win, one loss, and three draws, shows a lack of consistency in finishing.
Analysis of goal difference and defensive capabilities
The goal statistics reveal West Ham's biggest problem this season: their defense. They have conceded 55 goals in 30 matches, an average of 1.8 goals per game. This is an alarming figure when facing Aston Villa's attack, which has scored 40 goals and maintained an average of 1.3 goals per game.
| Statistical data | Aston Villa | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Current location | 4 | 18 |
| Total score | 51 | 29 |
| Goals scored | 40 | 36 |
| Conceded goal | 37 | 55 |
History of confrontations and current team situation.
History is on the side of the home team at Villa Park. In their last five encounters, Aston Villa have maintained an unbeaten record against West Ham with three wins and two draws. In their most recent meeting in December 2025, Villa secured a dramatic 3-2 victory away from home.
In terms of personnel, Aston Villa will be without B. Kamara due to a knee injury, while midfielder Y. Tielemans' availability remains uncertain due to an ankle injury. West Ham also suffer significant losses with goalkeeper L. Fabianski absent due to a back injury and C. Summerville sidelined with a calf injury.
Predicting the course of the match
Based on professional indicators, Aston Villa is rated higher due to home advantage and a superior head-to-head record. The predicted probability of a home win is 45%, equal to the probability of a draw (45%), while West Ham's chances of causing an upset are only 10%.
With West Ham's shaky defense, Aston Villa are expected to control the game. Experts predict the home team is likely to secure at least one point or a narrow victory to consolidate their position in the top group.
Team lineup updated at 21:01 on 22/03/2026
Official lineup
Aston Villa
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachUnai Emery
Starting lineup:
- 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
- 2. Matty Cash (D)
- 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
- 14. Pau Torres (D)
- 12. Lucas Digne (D)
- 6. Ross Barkley (M)
- 24. Amadou Onana (M)
- 7. John McGinn (M)
- 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
- 19. Jadon Sancho (M)
- 11. Ollie Watkins (F)
Substitutes:
- 40. Marco Bizot
- 22. Ian Maatsen
- 5. Tyrone Mings
- 26. Lamare Bogarde
- 8. Youri Tielemans
- 21. Douglas Luiz
- 10. Emiliano Buendía
- 31. Leon Bailey
- 18. Tammy Abraham
West Ham
Diagram: 3-4-2-1
CoachNuno Espirito Santo
Starting lineup:
- 1. Mads Hermansen (G)
- 25. Jean-Clair Todibo (D)
- 15. Konstantinos Mavropanos (D)
- 4. Axel Disasi (D)
- 29. Aaron Wan-Bissaka (M)
- 28. Tomáš Souček (M)
- 18. Mateus Fernandes (M)
- 12. El Hadji Malick Diouf (M)
- 20. Jarrod Bowen (F)
- 19. Pablo Felipe (F)
- 11. Valentín Castellanos (F)
Substitutes:
- 23. Alphonse Aréola
- 2. Kyle Walker-Peters
- 3. Max Kilman
- 27. Soungoutou Magassa
- 30. Oliver Scarles
- 32. Freddie Potts
- 55. Mohamadou Kanté
- 9. Callum Wilson
- 17. Adama Traoré
