Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Prediction - UEFA Champions League

The UEFA Champions League match between Atalanta and Bayern Munich will take place at 03:00 on March 11, 2026, at the New Balance Arena. This is a clash between two attacking football styles, with the visiting team, Bayern Munich, having a clear advantage in terms of form and goal-scoring performance.

Position in the league table and relative form

Currently, Bayern Munich is ranked second in the league table with 21 points after 8 matches. The German team has shown overwhelming strength, winning 7 matches and losing only 1. Conversely, Atalanta is in 15th place with 13 points after 10 rounds, having secured 5 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 4 defeats.

Atalanta: Seeking the home advantage

Atalanta, the home team, enters this match with rather inconsistent form over their last 10 games. Despite a 50% win rate, their defense has conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game. A positive aspect for the Italian side is their ability to capitalize on home advantage, where they have won 3 out of their 5 matches this season. With a scoring rate of 1.4 goals per game, Atalanta needs to be sharper if they want to break through the defense of their strong opponent.

Bayern Munich: Devastating attacking power

On the opposite side, Bayern Munich boasts impressive statistics. With a scoring rate of 2.8 goals per game, the "Bavarian giants'" attack is a nightmare for any defense. Notably, they have won 3 out of 4 away games this season. Their ability to control the game and impose their style of play helps the visitors maintain high consistency with only 1.0 goal conceded per game.

Force situation

Both teams faced significant personnel losses ahead of the big match:

• Atalanta:We will be without C. De Ketelaere due to a knee injury and G. Scalvini due to suspension (red card). Additionally, the availability of Ederson (muscle injury) and G. Raspadori (thigh injury) remains uncertain.
• Bayern Munich:The visiting team will be without veteran goalkeeper M. Neuer due to a calf injury. H. Ito (muscle injury) and C. Kiala (ankle injury) are also certain to be absent. B. Ndiaye is currently unavailable.

Expert opinions and predictions

Based on statistical data, Bayern Munich is considered the favorite in this match. Experts predict a 45% chance of the away team winning, while the probability of a draw is also 45%. There is only a 10% chance for Atalanta to pull off an upset at the New Balance Arena.

Tactically, Bayern Munich is expected to continue its high-pressing style of play to exploit gaps in Atalanta's defense. However, given the nature of a Champions League match, a draw with goals or a narrow victory for the away team is considered the most likely scenario.

Team lineup updated at 02:30 on 11/03/2026

Official lineup

Atalanta

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachRaffaele Palladino

Starting lineup:

• 29. Marco Carnesecchi (G)
• 47. Lorenzo Bernasconi (D)
• 4. Isak Hien (D)
• 23. Sead Kolašinac (D)
• 77. Davide Zappacosta (M)
• 15. Marten de Roon (M)
• 8. Mario Pašalić (M)
• 59. Nicola Zalewski (M)
• 90. Nikola Krstović (F)
• 7. Kamaldeen Sulemana (F)
• 9. Gianluca Scamacca (F)

Substitutes:

• 31. Francesco Rossi
• 57. Marco Sportiello
• 3. Odilon Kossounou
• 5. Mitchel Bakker
• 19. Berat Djimsiti
• 69. Honest Ahanor
• 48. Federico Cassa
• 6. Yunus Musah
• 10. Lazar Samardžić
• 16. Raoul Bellanova
• 45. Dominic Vasassori

Bayern Munich

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachVincent Kompany

Starting lineup:

• 40. Jonas Urbig (G)
• 27. Konrad Laimer (D)
• 2. Dayot Upamecano (D)
• 4. Jonathan Tah (D)
• 44. Josip Stanišić (D)
• 6. Joshua Kimmich (M)
• 45. Aleksandar Pavlovicć (M)
• 17. Michael Olise (M)
• 7. Serge Gnabry (M)
• 14. Luis Díaz (M)
• 11. Nicolas Jackson (F)

Substitutes:

• 37. Leonard Prescott
• 26. Sven Ulreich
• 3. Min-jae Kim
• 22. Raphaël Guerreiro
• 19. Alphonso Davies
• 8. Leon Goretzka
• 20. Tom Bischof
• 10. Jamal Musiala
• 42. Lennart Karl
• 9. Harry Kane