Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction - Serie A

Match context

At 00:00 on December 1st, 2025, Atalanta will host Fiorentina at the Gewiss Stadium. This is a clash between two teams currently in alarming form, both aiming to secure three points to improve their position in the Serie A standings.

Performance analysis

Atalanta: An effort to regain stability

Atalanta are going through a difficult period, having failed to win in their last five matches, with three losses and two draws. After 12 rounds, the team at Gewiss Stadium sits in 13th place with 13 points. Although they have only lost three matches since the start of the season, the fact that they have drawn seven games, including four at home, shows that Atalanta are having trouble finishing off opponents. Their attack has scored 14 goals, while their defense has conceded 14, reflecting a fragile balance but lacking breakthroughs.

Fiorentina: The crisis shows no sign of ending.

Fiorentina's situation is even more dire. The visiting team is second to last in the league table (19th place) with only 6 points and has yet to win a single match out of 12. Their form in the last 5 matches has also been very poor with 3 losses and 2 draws. Fiorentina has one of the weakest attacks in the league, having scored only 10 goals, while their defense has conceded 19. Although they have managed 4 draws away from home, the inability to win a single match is creating immense psychological pressure on the entire team.

History of confrontations

Looking at the last five encounters, the results slightly favor Fiorentina with 3 wins compared to Atalanta's 2. Notably, matches between the two teams are often open and high-scoring. In their most recent meeting in March 2025, Fiorentina won by a narrow 1-0 margin.

Force information

Both teams faced significant personnel losses ahead of the match.

• Atalanta:M. Bakker is absent due to a knee injury and G. Scalvini due to a muscle injury.
• Fiorentina:R. Gosens (thigh injury) and T. Lamptey (knee injury) are unavailable.

Analysis and predictions

Given the poor form of both teams, this is predicted to be an unpredictable match. Atalanta has the home advantage but frequently drops points. Meanwhile, Fiorentina, despite not having won a single match, has shown superiority in recent encounters. Based on statistical analysis, the likelihood of a draw or a victory for the visiting team Fiorentina is considered higher. A draw seems the most plausible scenario for both teams at this time.

Team lineup updated at 23:23 on 30/11/2025

Official lineup

Atalanta

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachIvan Jurić

Starting lineup:

• 29. Marco Carnesecchi (G)
• 3. Odilon Kossounou (D)
• 4. Isak Hien (D)
• 19. Berat Djimsiti (D)
• 16. Raoul Bellanova (M)
• 13. Anderson (M)
• 15. Marten de Roon (M)
• 77. Davide Zappacosta (M)
• 17. Charles De Ketelaere (F)
• 11. Ademola Lookman (F)
• 9. Gianluca Scamacca (F)

Substitutes:

• 31. Francesco Rossi
• 57. Marco Sportiello
• 69. Honest Ahanor
• 23. Sead Kolašinac
• 59. Nicola Zalewski
• 6. Yunus Musah
• 47. Lorenzo Bernasconi
• 44. Marco Brescianini
• 10. Lazar Samardžić
• 8. Mario Pašalić
• 70. Daniel Maldini
• 7. Kamaldeen Sulemana
• 90. Nikola Krstović

Fiorentina

Diagram: 4-3-2-1

CoachStefano Pioli

Starting lineup:

• 43. David De Gea (G)
• 5. Marin Pongračić (D)
• 18. Pablo Marí (D)
• 6. Luca Ranieri (D)
• 2. Dodo (D)
• 8. Rolando Mandragora (M)
• 44. Nicolò Fagioli (M)
• 7. Simon Sohm (M)
• 65. Fabiano Parisi (M)
• 91. Roberto Piccoli (M)
• 20. Moise Kean (F)

Substitutes:

• 30. Tommaso Martinelli
• 1. Luca Lezzerini
• 26. Mattia Viti
• 15. Pietro Comuzzo
• 60. Eddy Kouadio
• 27. Cher Ndou
• 24. Amir Richardson
• 29. Niccolò Fortini
• 14. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
• 99. Christian Kouamé
• 9. Edin Džeko
• 10. Albert Guðmundsson