Atalanta vs Inter Prediction - Serie A (Round 17)
Inter Milan aim to consolidate their lead in Serie A in their away match at New Balance Arena against a severely depleted Atalanta squad.
At 2:45 AM on December 29, 2025, the highlight of the Serie A round will be the clash between Atalanta and league leaders Inter Milan. The match will take place at the New Balance Arena, with the two teams currently occupying contrasting positions in the standings.
The reigning champion's dominant position
Inter Milan are displaying devastating form, leading Serie A with 33 points after 15 rounds. The Nerazzurri's attack is a terror to the league, having scored 34 goals (an average of 2.3 goals per game). Meanwhile, Atalanta currently sit in 9th place with 22 points after 16 matches, boasting a more modest scoring efficiency of 1.3 goals per game.
| Team | Location | Score | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 1 | 33 | Win 4, lose 1 |
| Atalanta | 9 | 22 | Win 3, lose 2 |
Head-to-head history: Atalanta's nightmare.
Historical statistics heavily favor the away team. In the last five encounters, Inter Milan have won all five matches. Notably, the clashes in 2024 showed a significant disparity, with Inter repeatedly defeating their opponent with a 4-0 scoreline.
- March 17, 2025: Atalanta 0 - 2 Inter
- January 3, 2025: Inter 2 - 0 Atalanta
- August 31, 2024: Inter 4 - 0 Atalanta
- February 29, 2024: Inter 4 - 0 Atalanta
- November 5, 2023: Atalanta 1 - 2 Inter
Team news: The home team is in trouble.
Atalanta entered the crucial match with a severely depleted squad. Key striker Ademola Lookman and defender Odilon Kossounou were absent due to international duty. The home side's injury list also included Mitchell Bakker (knee) and Raoul Bellanova. The availability of center-back Berat Djimsiti remained uncertain due to a thigh injury.
On the other side of the pitch, Inter are also missing Francesco Acerbi (thigh), Alieu Bonny (knee), and Denzel Dumfries (ankle). However, with their superior squad depth, these absences do not diminish the league leaders' status as the favorites.
Tactical analysis and predictions
Despite playing at their home ground, New Balance Arena, Atalanta only have a 10% chance of winning against their nemesis. Conversely, Inter Milan have a very high chance of securing all three points or at least a draw (a total of 90%).
With a defense that concedes an average of only 0.9 goals per game, Inter are likely to control the match. Experts predict this will be a low-scoring game, with both teams scoring under 2.5 goals.
Predicted result:Inter Milan win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 02:23 on 29/12/2025
Official lineup
Atalanta
Diagram: 3-4-2-1
CoachRaffaele Palladino
Starting lineup:
- 29. Marco Carnesecchi (G)
- 19. Berat Djimsiti (D)
- 4. Isak Hien (D)
- 23. Sead Kolašinac (D)
- 77. Davide Zappacosta (M)
- 13. Anderson (M)
- 15. Marten de Roon (M)
- 59. Nicola Zalewski (M)
- 17. Charles De Ketelaere (F)
- 8. Mario Pašalić (F)
- 9. Gianluca Scamacca (F)
Substitutes:
- 57. Marco Sportiello
- 31. Francesco Rossi
- 42. Giorgio Scalvini
- 43. Pietro Comi
- 69. Honest Ahanor
- 47. Lorenzo Bernasconi
- 10. Lazar Samardžić
- 6. Yunus Musah
- 44. Marco Brescianini
- 70. Daniel Maldini
- 7. Kamaldeen Sulemana
- 90. Nikola Krstović
Inter
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachCristian Chivu
Starting lineup:
- 1. Yann Sommer (G)
- 31. Yann Bisseck (D)
- 25. Manuel Akanji (D)
- 95. Alessandro Bastoni (D)
- 11. Luís Henrique (M)
- 23. Nicolò Barella (M)
- 20. Hakan Çalhanoğlu (M)
- 7. Piotr Zieliński (M)
- 32. Federico Dimarco (M)
- 9. Marcus Thuram (F)
- 10. Lautaro Martínez (F)
Substitutes:
- 60. Alain Taho
- 13. Josep Martínez
- 43. Matteo Cocchi
- 30. Carlos Augusto
- 6. Stefan de Vrij
- 22. Henrikh Mkhitaryan
- 17. Andy Diouf
- 8. Petar Sučić
- 50. Simone Cinquegrano
- 16. Davide Frattesi
- 94. Francesco Pio Esposito
- 47. Matteo Spinaccé
