Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction - Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain travel to the Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps aiming to close the gap with the top of the table, facing a struggling Auxerre side battling relegation.
The match between Auxerre and Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 took place against the backdrop of the two teams being at opposite ends of the league table. While the Parisian team needed points to maintain pressure on the top spot, the home team Auxerre was facing the risk of relegation, currently sitting in 17th place.
02:00 January 24 - Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
This encounter is predicted to be a major test for Auxerre's defense. With an average of 2.2 goals per game, Paris Saint Germain possesses enough firepower to penetrate any defensive system in the domestic league.
Contrasting positions on the leaderboard
Paris Saint Germain currently sits in second place with 42 points, maintaining an impressive run of form with 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 matches. In contrast, Auxerre is going through a crisis, sitting in 17th place with just 12 points. The home team's form is alarming, with 3 losses, 1 win, and 1 draw in their last 5 games.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 42 | Wins 4, Loss 1 |
| Auxerre | 17 | 12 | 3 losses, 1 win, 1 draw |
The head-to-head history heavily favors the away team.
Looking at the head-to-head history, Paris Saint Germain completely dominates, winning 4 and drawing only 1 of the last 5 encounters. Notably, this includes a crushing 5-0 victory at the end of 2022 and the most recent 2-0 win in September 2025.
- September 28, 2025: Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Auxerre
- May 18, 2025: Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Auxerre
- December 7, 2024: Auxerre 0 - 0 Paris Saint Germain
- May 22, 2023: Auxerre 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
- November 13, 2022: Paris Saint Germain 5 - 0 Auxerre
Analysis of strengths and gameplay
Paris Saint Germain: Superior attacking power
The visiting team boasts the strongest attack in the league with 40 goals in 18 matches. The ability of Paris Saint Germain's stars to control the game and capitalize on opportunities is undeniable. However, the uncertainty surrounding the availability of several key players could lead to a lack of their usual fluidity in play.
Auxerre: The defensive dilemma
With 28 goals conceded in 18 matches (an average of 1.6 goals per game), Auxerre's defense is showing too many weaknesses. To have any hope of a favorable result against the capital team, they will have to play with a low defensive line and focus entirely on neutralizing the opponent's key attacking players.
Force situation
Both teams are facing personnel losses ahead of this crucial match.
- Auxerre:N. Buayi-Kiala is absent due to a knee injury. The availability of D. Namaso (ill) and F. Sierralta (injured) remains uncertain.
- Paris Saint Germain:Q. Ndjantou is absent due to a muscle injury. A number of key players such as A. Hakimi (personal reasons), Lee Kang-In (thigh injury), J. Neves (muscle injury), F. Ruiz (injury) and goalkeeper M. Safonov (broken arm) are also doubtful to play.
Match analysis
Despite playing away from home, Paris Saint Germain is still considered the clear favorite in every aspect. Experts predict a high chance of victory for the away team, however, a draw cannot be ruled out if Auxerre plays bravely at home. With a 50% chance of a win for the away team and a 50% chance of a draw, this could be a match where Paris Saint Germain secures all three points, but by a narrow margin.
Team lineup updated at 01:38 on 24/01/2026
Official lineup
Auxerre
Diagram: 5-4-1
CoachChristophe Pelissier
Starting lineup:
- 16. Donovan Léon (G)
- 27. Lamine Sy (D)
- 20. Sinaly Diomandé (D)
- 29. Marvin Senaya (D)
- 92. Clement Akpa (D)
- 14. Gideon Mensah (D)
- 17. Oussama El Azzouzi (M)
- 8. Naouirou Ahamada (M)
- 5. Kevin Danois (M)
- 10. Lassine Sinayoko (M)
- 19. Danny Namaso (F)
Substitutes:
- 40. Théo De Percin
- 22. Fredrik Oppegård
- 42. Elisha Owusu
- 7. Josué Casimir
- 18. Assane Dioussé
- 21. Lasso Coulibaly
- 28. Romain Faivre
- 34. Rudy Matondo
- 9. Sékou Mara
Paris Saint Germain
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachEnrique Luis
Starting lineup:
- 30. Lucas Chevalier (G)
- 33. Warren Zaïre-Emery (D)
- 6. Ilya Zabarnyi (D)
- 4. Lucas Beraldo (D)
- 21. Lucas Hernández (D)
- 24. Senny Mayulu (M)
- 17. Vitinha (M)
- 49. Ibrahim Mbaye (M)
- 29. Bradley Barcola (F)
- 9. Gonçalo Ramos (F)
- 7. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (F)
Substitutes:
- 60. Martin James
- 89. Renato Marin
- 5. Marquinhos
- 51. William Pacho
- 14. Désiré Doué
- 45. Noah Nsoki
- 10. Ousmane Dembélé
