Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction - Bundesliga: The Absolute Dominance of the Bavarians

Thanh VinhJanuary 11, 2026 08:29

Bayern Munich have the opportunity to consolidate their lead in the Bundesliga when they host VfL Wolfsburg at the Allianz Arena at 11:30 PM on January 11, 2026, in a highly lopsided match.

The highly anticipated match at Allianz Arena between Bayern Munich and VfL Wolfsburg showcased a stark contrast in form and league standings. While the home team dominated the top spot with an unbeaten run, the visiting Wolfsburg were struggling to find points to escape the relegation zone at the bottom of the table.

Dominant position at the top of the rankings.

Currently, Bayern Munich is firmly in first place with 41 points after 15 rounds. Conversely, VfL Wolfsburg is ranked 14th with only 15 points, just a narrow margin above the relegation zone.

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Bayern Munich1414 wins, 1 draw
VfL Wolfsburg14152 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

Analyzing team form and strength

Bayern Munich: A devastating attack.

The Bavarian team is having an almost perfect season. In 15 matches played, they have won 13 and haven't lost a single game. Their home form at the Allianz Arena is particularly impressive, with 7 wins and only 1 draw.

Bayern's most fearsome aspect is their incredible goal-scoring record. With a total of 55 goals, the home team's strikers average 3.7 goals per game. In addition, their defense has been extremely effective, having conceded only 11 goals since the start of the season.

VfL Wolfsburg: Defense concerns

In contrast to their rivals' resurgence, Wolfsburg is going through a difficult period. After 15 matches, they have only managed 4 wins but have suffered 8 defeats. Although their away record is slightly better than their home record (3 wins), traveling to Bayern's home ground is too much of a challenge for the visiting team.

Wolfsburg's biggest problem lies in their defense, having conceded 28 goals (an average of 1.9 goals per game). Against Bayern's strongest attack in the league, without timely adjustments, the visitors are very likely to suffer a heavy defeat.

The history of their confrontation heavily favors one side.

The head-to-head history over the last 5 matches shows Bayern Munich's absolute dominance, as they won all 5 encounters:

  • January 18, 2025: Bayern München 3 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg
  • August 25, 2024: VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 3 Bayern München
  • May 12, 2024: Bayern Munich 2 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg
  • December 21, 2023: VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Bayern Munich
  • February 5, 2023: VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 4 Bayern Munich

Notably, matches between the two teams often feature a high number of goals, reflecting the open style of play adopted by both sides whenever they meet.

Match prediction

Based on statistics and current form, Bayern Munich is considered the top contender for victory. The home team has a high chance of securing three points, while Wolfsburg's chances of causing an upset are very low.

Many experts predict this will be a high-scoring match, with Bayern potentially scoring four or more goals. The recommended bet for this match is to choose Bayern Munich to win, combined with a total number of goals exceeding 1.5.

Team lineup updated at 22:53 on 11/01/2026

Official lineup

Bayern Munich

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachVincent Kompany

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Manuel Neuer (G)
  • 27. Konrad Laimer (D)
  • 2. Dayot Upamecano (D)
  • 4. Jonathan Tah (D)
  • 44. Josip Stanišić (D)
  • 20. Tom Bischof (M)
  • 45. Aleksandar Pavlovicć (M)
  • 17. Michael Olise (M)
  • 42. Lennart Karl (M)
  • 14. Luis Díaz (M)
  • 9. Harry Kane (F)

Substitutes:

  • 40. Jonas Urbig
  • 30. Cassiano Kiala
  • 21. Hiroki Itō
  • 22. Raphaël Guerreiro
  • 8. Leon Goretzka
  • 7. Serge Gnabry
  • 47. David Daiber
  • 38. Felipe Chavez
  • 36. Wisdom Mike

VfL Wolfsburg

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachDaniel Bauer

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Kamil Grabara (G)
  • 26. Saël Kumbedi (D)
  • 15. Moritz Jenz (D)
  • 4. Konstantinos Koulierakis (D)
  • 2. Kilian Fischer (D)
  • 32. Mattias Svanberg (M)
  • 27. Maximilian Arnold (M)
  • 24. Christian Eriksen (M)
  • 10. Lovero Majer (M)
  • 39. Patrick Wimmer (M)
  • 17. Dženan Pejčinović (F)

Substitutes:

  • 12. Pavao Pervan
  • 3. Denis Vavro
  • 41. Jan Burger
  • 25. Aaron Zehnter
  • 40. Kevin Paredes
  • 37. Pharell Hensel
  • 5. Vinícius Souza
  • 31. Yannick Gerhardt
  • 11. Adam Daghim

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