Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction - UEFA Europa League

Thanh VinhApril 9, 2026 09:05

Aston Villa travel to Italy in devastating form with five consecutive wins, to face Bologna, who boast an unbeaten home record in the UEFA Europa League.

02:00 on April 10, 2026 - UEFA Europa League

The clash between Bologna and Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League group stage takes place against the backdrop of both teams striving to consolidate their positions in the leading group. While Aston Villa are flying high in second place, the Italian representative Bologna has also shown formidable resilience, especially when playing at their home ground.

Current league position and form

Aston Villa is currently one of the most consistent teams in the league this year. The English team is currently second with 21 points after a run of five consecutive wins. Conversely, Bologna is ranked 10th with 15 points, maintaining a fairly stable form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches.

Team Location Point Form (last 5 matches)
Aston Villa 2 21 Win 5 matches
Bologna 10 15 3 wins, 2 draws

Gameplay analysis and professional statistics

Bologna are incredibly formidable when playing at home. Despite only winning 2 out of 12 matches this season, they have recorded 4 draws at their home ground and remain undefeated. Bologna's scoring efficiency averages 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has conceded only 0.9 goals per game.

On the other side of the battlefield, Aston Villa has shown maximum effectiveness when playing away from home. In 10 matches this season, they have won 9, including 4 victories away from home. The English team's defensive performance is extremely impressive, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game, the lowest among the leading teams.

Head-to-head history and competitive mentality

History is clearly on the side of the Premier League team. In their two most recent encounters in 2024 and 2025, Aston Villa won both matches without conceding a single goal.

  • September 26, 2025: Aston Villa 1 - 0 Bologna
  • October 23, 2024: Aston Villa 2 - 0 Bologna

This historical factor provides a significant psychological advantage for Unai Emery's players ahead of this away match.

Team situation: Heavy losses for the home team.

Notably, Bologna is facing a severe personnel crisis with a long list of absentees. This will undoubtedly affect the Italian team's ability to rotate players and implement tactical strategies.

  • Bologna:T. Dallinga, B. Dominguez (hip injury), C. Lykogiannis (thigh injury), L. Skorupski (muscle injury), M. Vitik (suspended due to yellow card), K. Bonifazi and L. De Silvestri are unavailable.
  • Aston Villa:J. Sancho (shoulder injury), B. Kamara (knee injury) are absent, while Alysson and B. Madjo are unavailable.

Analysis and prediction of results

Although Bologna have the home advantage and an unbeaten record there, the absence of several key players such as goalkeeper Skorupski and striker Dallinga will be a major challenge. Meanwhile, Aston Villa, with their experienced squad and ideal form, are considered the more likely team to secure at least one point.

Forecast:Aston Villa win or draw (Double chance).

Experts estimate Aston Villa have a 45% chance of winning, a 45% chance of a draw, and only a 10% chance of Bologna securing all three points. The match is predicted to have fewer than three goals scored, based on the defensive solidity of both teams.

Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 10/04/2026

Official lineup

Bologna

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachVincenzo Italiano

Starting lineup:

  • 13. Federico Ravaglia (G)
  • 17. João Mário (D)
  • 14. Torbjørn Heggem (D)
  • 26. Jhon Lucumí (D)
  • 33. Juan Miranda (D)
  • 19. Lewis Ferguson (M)
  • 8. Remo Freuler (M)
  • 4. Tommaso Pobega (M)
  • 10. Federico Bernardeschi (F)
  • 9. Santiago Castro (F)
  • 11. Jonathan Rowe (F)

Substitutes:

  • 25. Massimo Pessina
  • 20. Nadir Zortea
  • 7. Riccardo Orsolini
  • 21. Jens Odgaard
  • 6. Nikola Moro
  • 73. Francesco Castello
  • 82. Matteo Franceschelli
  • 28. Nicolò Cambiaghi
  • 23. Simon Sohm
  • 16. Nicolò Casale

Aston Villa

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachUnai Emery

Starting lineup:

  • 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
  • 2. Matty Cash (D)
  • 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
  • 14. Pau Torres (D)
  • 12. Lucas Digne (D)
  • 24. Amadou Onana (M)
  • 8. Youri Tielemans (M)
  • 7. John McGinn (M)
  • 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
  • 10. Emiliano Buendía (M)
  • 11. Ollie Watkins (F)

Substitutes:

  • 16. Andrés García
  • 22. Ian Maatsen
  • 18. Tammy Abraham
  • 31. Leon Bailey
  • 64. James Wright
  • 3. Victor Lindelöf
  • 40. Marco Bizot
  • 21. Douglas Luiz
  • 5. Tyrone Mings
  • 9. Harvey Elliott
  • 26. Lamare Bogarde
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Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction - UEFA Europa League
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