Bologna vs Lecce Prediction - Serie A Round 32 (23:00, April 12)
Bologna are aiming to consolidate their position in the top 10 when they host struggling relegation-threatened Lecce at the Renato Dal'Ara stadium.
The match between Bologna and Lecce in Serie A Round 32 took place against the backdrop of two teams at completely opposite ends of the table. While the home team Bologna was firmly in 8th place with 45 points, Lecce was facing the risk of relegation, sitting in 18th place with only 27 points.
Form and league position
Bologna are having a fairly stable season. In their last five matches, they have won three and lost two. Their scoring efficiency averages 1.3 goals per game, while their defense has only conceded 1.2 goals per game. These figures demonstrate the balance in the playing style that their coach is building.
Conversely, Lecce is going through a severe crisis. The away team has only won one match in their last five outings, suffering four defeats. In particular, Lecce's attacking ability is alarming, averaging only 0.7 goals per game since the start of the season, significantly lower than their average of 1.4 goals conceded per game.
| Team | Location | Score | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 8 | 45 | Win 3, Loss 2 |
| Lecce | 18 | 27 | Win 1, Loss 4 |
Head-to-head history: The home team has the advantage.
Looking at the head-to-head history, Bologna holds a clear psychological advantage. In the last five encounters, Bologna has never lost to Lecce, with a record of two wins and three draws. Most notably, their emphatic 4-0 victory at Renato Dal'Ara in February 2024 shows that they often perform very well against this opponent at home.
- September 28, 2025: Lecce 2 - 2 Bologna
- February 10, 2025: Lecce 0 - 0 Bologna
- November 2, 2024: Bologna 1 - 0 Lecce
- February 11, 2024: Bologna 4 - 0 Lecce
- December 3, 2023: Lecce 1 - 1 Bologna
Force situation and personnel losses
Both teams are facing squad difficulties due to injuries and suspensions. Most notably for Bologna, key midfielder L. Ferguson is absent due to a red card, and goalkeeper L. Skorupski is sidelined with a muscle injury. This could directly impact their midfield control and goalkeeping stability.
Bologna's list of absentees:
- K. Bonifazi: Absent
- B. Dominguez: Hip injury
- L. Ferguson: Suspended (Red Card)
- L. Skorupski: Muscle injury
- T. Dallinga & C. Lykogiannis: Availability is still uncertain.
Lecce's list of absentees:
- M. Berisha: Thigh injury
- F. Camarda: Shoulder injury
- K. Gaspar & R. Sottil: Currently recovering (availability to compete is uncertain)
Analysis and prediction of results
Despite missing several key players, Bologna are still considered the clear favorites thanks to their home advantage and the difference in skill level. Lecce, with their weak attack, will find it very difficult to break through the home team's defense unless there are unexpected breakthroughs.
Based on statistical data, Bologna's win or draw probability is as high as 90%. This is predicted to be a low-scoring match, as both teams have certain personnel losses and will need to play cautiously.
Forecast:Bologna win or draw.
