Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction: A Challenge at Vitality Stadium

Match context

At 10:00 PM on December 6th, 2025, Chelsea will face a challenging away match at Bournemouth's Vitality Stadium. The Blues are in good form and currently sit 4th in the league table, while Bournemouth are experiencing a disappointing run of form and are in 14th place.

Contrasting form

Chelsea entered this match with great confidence. The London team had won 3, drawn 1 and lost only 1 of their last 5 Premier League matches. With 24 points after 14 rounds, they are showing consistency with an effective attack (averaging 1.8 goals per game) and a relatively solid defense (conceding 1.1 goals per game).

Conversely, Bournemouth are in crisis. The Vitality Stadium side have not won in their last five matches, including four defeats and one draw. Their defense is their biggest weakness, having conceded 24 goals in 14 games, an average of 1.7 goals per game.

The head-to-head history favors Chelsea.

The head-to-head statistics also completely favor the away team. In the last 5 encounters, Chelsea have been completely unbeaten against Bournemouth with 3 wins and 2 draws. This shows the Blues' superiority over their opponents in recent years.

• January 15, 2025: Chelsea 2 - 2 Bournemouth
• September 15, 2024: Bournemouth 0 - 1 Chelsea
• May 19, 2024: Chelsea 2 - 1 Bournemouth
• September 17, 2023: Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
• May 6, 2023: Bournemouth 1 - 3 Chelsea

Serious troop losses

Both teams are facing significant personnel issues ahead of this match, which could considerably impact tactics and the outcome of the game.

Bournemouth are missing several key players.

The home team will be without several key players for various reasons:

• T. Adams: Suspended due to yellow card.
• M. Akinmboni: Muscle injury
• R. Christie: Knee injury
• L. Cook: Suspended due to red card.
• B. Doak: Hamstring injury

Chelsea also didn't have their strongest squad.

On Chelsea's side, the list of absentees is also noteworthy, particularly in midfield and attack:

• M. Caicedo: Suspended due to red card.
• L. Colwill: Knee injury
• D. Essugo: Thigh injury
• R. Lavia: Thigh injury
• M. Mudryk: Suspended

Analysis and predictions

Despite playing away and facing significant absences, Chelsea are still considered the favorites due to their superior form and head-to-head record. However, Bournemouth's home ground, Vitality Stadium, and the Blues' depleted squad could make for a more difficult match than expected. Based on analysis, the chances of Chelsea getting a point are very high. The predicted probability for a draw or a win for the away team is as high as 90%, while the chances for the home team are only 10%.

Team lineup updated at 21:23 on 06/12/2025

Official lineup

Bournemouth

Diagram: 4-1-4-1

CoachAndoni Iraola Sagarna

Starting lineup:

• 1. Dorde Petrović (G)
• 15. Adam Smith (D)
• 18. Bafodé Diakité (D)
• 5. Marcos Senesi (D)
• 3. Adrien Truffert (D)
• 8. Alex Scott (M)
• 20. Álex Jiménez (M)
• 16. Marcus Tavernier (M)
• 19. Justin Kluivert (M)
• 24. Antoine Semenyo (M)
• 9. Evanilson (F)

Substitutes:

• 40. Will Dennis
• 2. Julián Araujo
• 6. Julio Soler
• 23. James Hill
• 7. David Brooks
• 51. Malcolm Dacosta
• 21. Amine Adli
• 22. Eli Junior Kroupi
• 26. Enes Ünal

Chelsea

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachVincenzo Maresca

Starting lineup:

• 1. Robert Sánchez (G)
• 27. Malo Gusto (D)
• 29. Wesley Fofana (D)
• 23. Trevoh Chalobah (D)
• 3. Marc Cucurella (D)
• 24. Reece James (M)
• 8. Enzo Fernández (M)
• 7. Pedro Neto (M)
• 10. Cole Palmer (M)
• 49. Alejandro Garnacho (M)
• 9. Liam Delap (F)

Substitutes:

• 12. Filip Jørgensen
• 5. Benoît Badiashile
• 34. Josh Acheampong
• 21. Jorrel Hato
• 17. Andrey Santos
• 41. Estevao
• 11. Jamie Gittens
• 38. Marc Guiu
• 20. João Pedro