Brighton vs Nottingham Forest Prediction - Premier League: A Showdown at the Amex

The match between Brighton and Nottingham Forest will take place at 9:00 PM on March 1, 2026, at the Amex Stadium. With both teams facing issues regarding form and squad availability, this game is crucial for both sides' ambitions to avoid relegation and improve their league standings.

9:00 PM on March 1st - Premier League Round 28

Ranking position

Currently, Brighton are in 14th place with 34 points after 27 matches. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest are in 17th place with 27 points, just a narrow distance from the relegation zone. A win in this match would help Brighton move into a safer position, while Forest need points to maintain their hopes of staying in the league.

Form and key statistics

Brighton: Home advantage

Despite their recent inconsistent form with only one win in their last five matches, Brighton have proven to be a formidable opponent at the Amex Stadium. Of their eight wins this season, five have come at home. With a goal difference of 36-34, Brighton's playing style maintains a certain balance, even though their defense occasionally shows weaknesses.

Nottingham Forest: Overcoming Challenges

Nottingham Forest are facing a difficult attacking problem, averaging only 0.9 goals per game since the start of the season. However, they have secured 4 wins in their away matches, showing their potential for counter-attacking. Their recent form of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 rounds demonstrates their efforts, but it's not enough to create a major breakthrough.

History of confrontations and forces

In their last five Premier League encounters, Brighton have the edge with two wins, two draws, and only one loss against Nottingham Forest. Notably, in the first leg of this season, Brighton secured a 2-0 victory away from home.

Injury situation

Both coaches are grappling with a long list of injured players:

• Brighton:S. Tzimas and A. Webster are absent due to knee injuries. The availability of Y. Ayari (shoulder injury) and S. March (knee injury) remains uncertain.
• Nottingham Forest:Several key players will be sidelined due to knee injuries, including W. Boly, John Victor, and C. Wood, and goalkeeper M. Sels due to a groin injury. N. Savona's participation is also uncertain.

Expert predictions and assessments

With home advantage and a favorable head-to-head record, Brighton are considered the favorites to control the game. Data analysis shows the home team has a 45% chance of winning, equal to the probability of a draw, while Forest's chances of winning are only 10%.

The absence of Forest's key striker Chris Wood could significantly weaken the visitors' counter-attacking ability. The match is predicted to be tight with few goals. A draw or a win for Brighton with a total of under 3.5 goals is the most likely scenario.

Team lineup updated at 20:30 on 01/03/2026

Official lineup

Brighton

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachFabian Hurzeler

Starting lineup:

• 1. Bart Verbruggen (G)
• 27. Mats Wieffer (D)
• 6. Jan Paul van Hecke (D)
• 5. Lewis Dunk (D)
• 24. Ferdi Kadıoğlu (D)
• 13. Jack Hinshelwood (M)
• 20. James Milner (M)
• 30. Pascal Groß (M)
• 25. Diego Gómez (F)
• 18. Danny Welbeck (F)
• 22. Kaoru Mitoma (F)

Substitutes:

• 23. Jason Steele
• 21. Olivier Boscagli
• 29. Maxim De Cuyper
• 34. Joël Veltman
• 7. Solly March
• 10. Georginio Rutter
• 11. Yankuba Minteh
• 17. Carlos Baleba
• 19. Charalampos Kostoulas

Nottingham Forest

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachVitor Pereira

Starting lineup:

• 26. Matz Sels (G)
• 34. Ola Aina (D)
• 31. Nikola Milenković (D)
• 5. Murillo (D)
• 3. Neco Williams (D)
• 6. Ibrahim Sangaré (M)
• 8. Elliot Anderson (M)
• 21. Omari Hutchinson (M)
• 10. Morgan Gibbs-White (M)
• 7. Callum Hudson-Odoi (M)
• 19. Igor Jesus (F)

Substitutes:

• 18. Angus Gunn
• 23. Jair
• 25. Luca Netz
• 14. Dan Ndoye
• 16. Nicolás Domínguez
• 22. Ryan Yates
• 24. James McAtee
• 29. Dilane Bakwa
• 9. Taiwo Awoniyi