Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction - 22:00, March 14th, Premier League

At 10:00 PM on March 14th, Burnley will host Bournemouth at Turf Moor in the 29th round of the Premier League. This is a crucial match for the home team in their fight to avoid relegation, while the visitors are looking to consolidate their position in the top half of the table.

Contrasting positions in the Premier League

Bournemouth are currently having a relatively stable season, sitting in 9th place with 40 points. Their form in their last 5 matches has been consistent, with 1 win and 4 draws. In contrast, Burnley are languishing at the bottom of the table in 19th place with only 19 points. The Turf Moor side have only managed 4 wins in 29 matches played and have suffered 18 defeats.

In-depth performance analysis and statistics

Burnley: A shaky defense

Burnley's team is facing serious problems at both ends of the pitch. Statistics show they concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, while only scoring around 1.1. In their last five matches, Burnley have only won one, drawn one, and lost three. Even at their home ground, Turf Moor, they have only won two games since the start of the season, making it a favorite destination for visiting teams.

Bournemouth: A formidable display of tenacity.

Bournemouth have shown they are an extremely difficult opponent to beat. With 13 draws since the start of the season, they are one of the teams with the highest draw rate in the league. The visitors' scoring efficiency is 1.5 goals per game, slightly better than Burnley's defense. In particular, their form of one win and four draws in their last five matches shows the consistency in their playing style.

History of confrontations and current team situation.

The head-to-head history favors the away team, as in the last 5 encounters, Bournemouth have won 3, drawn 1, and lost only 1 match against Burnley. In the first leg, which took place in December 2025, the two teams drew 1-1.

In terms of squad strength, Burnley is facing a serious personnel crisis. The list of absentees is extensive, including Z. Amdouni, J. Cullen (knee injury), J. Beyer, A. Broja (hamstring injury), C. Roberts (groin injury), and A. Tuanzebe (Achilles tendon injury). In addition, the availability of M. Edwards and M. Tresor Ndayishimiye remains uncertain.

On the other side of the pitch, Bournemouth also lost several key players such as L. Cook, B. Doak, J. Soler (hamstring injury) and J. Kluivert (knee injury). However, the depth of the visiting team's squad is still considered significantly greater than that of the home team.

Tactical analysis and predictions

With a 90% probability of a win or draw for the away team, Bournemouth is expected to control the game. Burnley's play is likely to remain ineffective due to the absence of several key players. A draw or a narrow victory for Bournemouth is the most likely scenario at Turf Moor.

Team lineup updated at 21:30 on March 14, 2026

Official lineup

Burnley

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachScott Parker

Starting lineup:

• 1. Martin Dúbravka (G)
• 12. Bashir Humphreys (D)
• 29. Josh Laurent (D)
• 5. Maxime Estève (D)
• 2. Kyle Walker (M)
• 20. James Ward-Prowse (M)
• 28. Hannibal Mejbri (M)
• 3. Quilindschy Hartman (M)
• 9. Lyle Foster (F)
• 11. Jaidon Anthony (F)
• 19. Zian Flemming (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Max Weiss
• 4. Joe Worrall
• 23. Lucas Pires
• 8. Lesley Ugochukwu
• 10. Marcus Edwards
• 35. Ashley Barnes
• 16. Florentino Luís
• 17. Loum Tchaouna
• 27. Armando Broja

Bournemouth

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachAndoni Iraola

Starting lineup:

• 1. Dorde Petrović (G)
• 15. Adam Smith (D)
• 23. James Hill (D)
• 5. Marcos Senesi (D)
• 3. Adrien Truffert (D)
• 10. Ryan Christie (M)
• 8. Alex Scott (M)
• 37. Rayan (M)
• 22. Eli Junior Kroupi (M)
• 16. Marcus Tavernier (M)
• 9. Evanilson (F)

Substitutes:

• 29. Christos Mandas
• 18. Bafodé Diakité
• 20. Álex Jiménez
• 44. Veljko Milosavljević
• 7. David Brooks
• 11. Ben Gannon-Doak
• 27. Alex Tóth
• 21. Amine Adli
• 26. Enes Ünal