Burnley vs Everton Prediction - Premier League: A Challenge at Turf Moor
Burnley face a tough relegation battle as they host Everton, a team with a significant advantage in head-to-head history and more consistent form in the Premier League.
The upcoming Premier League match will see a crucial clash between Burnley and Everton at Turf Moor Stadium at 10:00 PM on December 27, 2025. This is a pivotal point in the season as both teams need points to achieve their respective goals at opposite ends of the league table.
Contrasting positions on the leaderboard
Currently, the gap between the two teams is quite large. Everton is maintaining a safe position in the middle of the table, while Burnley is deeply mired in a fierce relegation battle. The statistics after 17 rounds clearly illustrate this disparity:
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 | 24 | 3 losses, 2 wins |
| Burnley | 19 | 11 | Win 1, Draw 1, Loss 3 |
Burnley: Striving to escape the relegation zone.
The Turf Moor side are having a turbulent season. With only 11 points after 17 matches, Burnley are currently in 19th place. Their home form is also not very promising, having won only 2 out of 3 matches since the start of the season.
Burnley's biggest problem lies in their defense. They have conceded 34 goals, averaging 2.0 goals per game. Although their attack has managed to score at an average of 1.1 goals per game, the defensive lapses are hindering their efforts. In their last five matches, Burnley have only managed one draw and suffered four defeats, a red flag for their survival in the league.
Everton: Finding stability again
On the other side of the pitch, Everton showed a more resilient performance. Ranked 10th with 24 points, "The Toffees" demonstrated a balanced style of play. Their defense was well-organized, conceding only 1.2 goals per game, significantly lower than the home team. With 7 wins in 17 league matches, including 3 away wins, Everton proved to be a difficult opponent to overcome when playing away from home.
The head-to-head history heavily favors Everton.
Statistics from recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor the away team. In the last five meetings, Everton have won four matches, losing only once against Burnley in April 2022.
- April 6, 2024: Everton 1 - 0 Burnley
- December 17, 2023: Burnley 0 - 2 Everton
- November 2, 2023: Everton 3 - 0 Burnley
- April 7, 2022: Burnley 3 - 2 Everton
- September 14, 2021: Everton 3 - 1 Burnley
Everton's consistent clean sheets and goalscoring record against Burnley in recent seasons give them a huge psychological advantage going into the match at Turf Moor.
Military situation: Heavy losses on both sides.
Both coaches are facing headaches due to injury lists and players absent due to international duty.
Burnley's absentee list
- Z. Amdouni:Absent due to a knee injury.
- J. Beyer:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
- L. Foster:Regarding national team training camps.
- H. Mejbri:Suspended.
- C. Roberts:Absent due to a groin injury.
- A. Tuanzebe:Regarding national team training camps.
- M. Esteve:His availability for the match is still uncertain due to a minor collision.
Everton's list of absentees
- J. Branthwaite:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
- S. Coleman:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
- K. Dewsbury-Hall:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
- I. Gueye:Regarding national team training camps.
- I. Ndiaye:Regarding national team training camps.
Analysis and prediction of results
Considering their current strength and form, Everton are still rated higher despite playing away from home. Experts estimate the visitors' chances of winning at 45%, equivalent to the probability of a draw. Meanwhile, Burnley's chances of causing an upset are only 10%.
The match is not expected to be high-scoring due to both teams missing key attacking players. However, Everton's defensive discipline could be key to them leaving Turf Moor with at least one point.
Forecast:Everton win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 21:23 on December 27, 2025
Official lineup
Burnley
Diagram: 3-4-3
CoachScott Parker
Starting lineup:
- 1. Martin Dúbravka (G)
- 29. Josh Laurent (D)
- 12. Bashir Humphreys (D)
- 18. Hjalmar Ekdal (D)
- 2. Kyle Walker (M)
- 8. Lesley Ugochukwu (M)
- 24. Josh Cullen (M)
- 23. Lucas Pires (M)
- 10. Marcus Edwards (F)
- 27. Armando Broja (F)
- 7. Jacob Bruun Larsen (F)
Substitutes:
- 13. Max Weiss
- 3. Quilindschy Hartman
- 22. Oliver Sonne
- 11. Jaidon Anthony
- 16. Florentino Luís
- 31. Mike Trésor
- 35. Ashley Barnes
- 19. Zian Fleming
- 17. Loum Tchaouna
Everton
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachLeighton Baines
Starting lineup:
- 1. Jordan Pickford (G)
- 15. Jake O'Brien (D)
- 6. James Tarkowski (D)
- 5. Michael Keane (D)
- 16. Vitaliy Mykolenko (D)
- 42. Tim Iroegbunam (M)
- 37. James Garner (M)
- 20. Tyler Dibling (M)
- 24. Carlos Alcaraz (M)
- 7. Dwight McNeil (M)
- 9. Beto (F)
Substitutes:
- 12. Mark Travers
- 31. Tom King
- 2. Nathan Patterson
- 64. Reece Welch
- 73. Elijah Campbell
- 39. Adam Aznou
- 34. Merlin Röhl
- 11. Thierno Barry
