Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction - Serie A: Opportunity to break through at Unipol Domus
The match between Cagliari and Lecce at 02:45 on February 17th is crucial in determining the rankings in the lower half of the Serie A table this season.
Cagliari will host Lecce at the Unipol Domus stadium at 02:45 on February 17th in the 25th round of Serie A. This is a clash between two teams striving to accumulate points to create a safe distance from the bottom of the table.
Current league position and form
Currently, Cagliari sits in 13th place in the Serie A standings with 28 points. The team playing at the Unipol Domus stadium has been in relatively stable form recently, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 13 | 28 | Win 3, lose 2 |
| Lecce | 17 | 21 | Win 1, draw 1, lose 3 |
Conversely, Lecce are currently in 17th place with 21 points, just above the relegation zone. The visitors' form is alarming, having only secured 1 win, 1 draw, and suffered 3 defeats in their last 5 league matches.
Performance analysis
Cagliari: Home advantage
After 24 matches, Cagliari have scored 28 goals (an average of 1.2 goals per game) but have also conceded 33. Notably, the team usually plays confidently at Unipol Domus, with 4 wins and 3 draws at home. However, the coach is facing a difficult personnel problem with a long injury list including key players such as A. Belotti (knee injury), G. Borrelli (thigh injury), and J. Pedro (calf injury).
Lecce: The attacking dilemma
Lecce currently has one of the least effective attacking records in the league, having scored only 15 goals in 24 matches, a modest average of 0.6 goals per game. On the road, they have only managed two wins in 11 away games. Adding to Lecce's difficulties are their key striker, L. Banda, suspended due to accumulating too many yellow cards, while M. Berisha and F. Camarda are still sidelined with injuries.
Head-to-head history and tactical predictions
In their last five encounters, Cagliari have a slight advantage with two wins, two draws, and only one loss against Lecce. In the first leg in September 2025, Cagliari won 2-1 away from home.
Based on statistics, Cagliari is considered to have a higher chance of winning, with an expected probability of around 45%. With both teams missing several key attacking players, this match is predicted to be low-scoring. A tight defensive style and reliance on set pieces could be key to determining the winner at Unipol Domus.
Predicted result:Cagliari win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 02:15 on 17/02/2026
Official lineup
Cagliari
Diagram: 4-4-2
CoachFabio Pisacane
Starting lineup:
- 1. Elia Caprile (G)
- 28. Gabriele Zappa (D)
- 26. Yerry Mina (D)
- 32. Zé Pedro (D)
- 33. Adam Obert (D)
- 2. Marco Palestra (M)
- 8. Michel Adopo (M)
- 25. Ibrahim Sulemana (M)
- 3. Riyad Idrissi (M)
- 94. Sebastiano Esposito (F)
- 30. Leonardo Pavoletti (F)
Substitutes:
- 24. Giuseppe Ciocci
- 12. Alen Sherri
- 18. Othniël Raterink
- 39. Andrea Cogoni
- 22. Alberto Dossena
- 15. Juan Rodríguez
- 27. Joseph Liteta
- 20. Agustín Albarracín
- 4. Luca Mazzitelli
- 37. Yael Trepy
- 31. Paul Mendy
- 9. Semih Kılıçsoy
Lecce
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachEusebio Di Francesco
Starting lineup:
- 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
- 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
- 4. Kialonda Gaspar (D)
- 44. Tiago Gabriel (D)
- 25. Antonino Gallo (D)
- 29. Lassana Coulibaly (M)
- 20. Ylber Ramadani (M)
- 16. Omri Gandelman (M)
- 50. Santiago Pierotti (F)
- 99. Walid Cheddra (F)
- 23. Riccardo Sottil (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Christian Früchtl
- 32. Jasper Samooja
- 18. Gaby Jean
- 3. Corrie Ndaba
- 5. Jamil Siebert
- 6. Alex Sala
- 36. Filip Marchwiński
- 79. Oumar Ngom
- 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
- 8. Sadik Fofana
- 80. Niko Kovač
- 9. Nikola Štulić
- 11. Konan N'Dri
