Casa Pia vs AVS Prediction - A Battle for Survival in the Primeira Liga
03:15 on January 24th - Casa Pia hosts AVS as both teams strive to escape the relegation zone in the Portuguese national championship.
The match between Casa Pia and AVS will take place at 03:15 on January 24, 2026, at the Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior stadium. This is considered a "relegation battle" as both teams are currently in the bottom three of the Primeira Liga standings.
Current ranking position
Currently, Casa Pia is ranked 16th with 14 points after 18 rounds. Meanwhile, AVS' situation is even more dire as they sit at the bottom of the table (18th place) with only 4 points. The 10-point gap between the two teams makes this match particularly crucial in their fight to avoid relegation.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 16 | 14 | Win 1, Draw 2, Loss 2 |
| AVS | 18 | 4 | Draw 1, Loss 4 |
Performance analysis and professional statistics
Casa Pia: Efforts to improve home performance
Casa Pia has played 18 matches this season with a record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. Notably, they have yet to win at home in their last 8 home games (4 draws, 4 losses). Their attacking performance at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior is low, averaging 0.9 goals per game (17 goals scored), while their defense concedes an average of 1.9 goals per game (35 goals).
AVS: The crisis is far from over.
The visiting team AVS is still without a win after 18 rounds this season. They have only managed 4 draws and suffered 14 defeats. Notably, on away games, AVS has lost 7 out of 8 matches. Scoring goals is a major problem for this team, with an average of only 0.6 goals per game (scoring 11 goals), while possessing the worst defense in the league with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per game (44 goals).
Head-to-head history and tactical analysis
In their last three encounters since December 2024, Casa Pia has an unbeaten record against AVS with one win and two draws. In the first leg in August 2025, Casa Pia won 2-0 on AVS's home ground.
Regarding team news, neither team has reported any significant injuries or suspensions. This allows both coaches to have their best players available for this important match.
Predicting developments
Based on statistics, Casa Pia is considered the favorite due to their home advantage and better head-to-head record. Predictions suggest the home team has a 50% chance of winning and a 50% chance of a draw. Meanwhile, AVS's chances of securing three points are considered very low due to their prolonged poor form.
The match is likely to be closely contested as both teams are looking to avoid defeat. Casa Pia is expected to take the initiative and control the game in search of their first home win of the season.
Team lineup updated at 02:38 on 24/01/2026
Official lineup
Casa Pia
Diagram: 3-4-3
CoachJardim Brandao Goncalo
Starting lineup:
- 1. Patrick Sequeira (G)
- 4. João Goulart (D)
- 3. Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira (D)
- 43. David Sousa (D)
- 72. Gaizka Larrazabal (M)
- 74. Renato Nhaga (M)
- 8. Rafael Brito (M)
- 5. Abdu Conté (M)
- 21. Tiago Morais (F)
- 90. Cassiano (F)
- 29. Jérémy Livolant (F)
Substitutes:
- 33. Ricardo Batista
- 19. Kevin Prieto
- 18. André Geraldes
- 24. Iyad Mohamed
- 7. Kelian Nsona
- 80. Lawrence Ofori
- 13. Oluwakorede Osundina
- 14. Miguel Sousa
- 10. Dailon Rocha Livramento
AVS
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachJoao Henriques
Starting lineup:
- 1. Adriel (G)
- 27. Ángel Algobia (D)
- 35. Rúben Semedo (D)
- 26. Carlos Ponck (D)
- 24. Kiki Afonso (D)
- 70. Roni (M)
- 23. Gustavo Mendonca (M)
- 11. Babatunde Akinsola (M)
- 8. Pedro Lima (M)
- 14. Óscar Perea (M)
- 7. Tomané (F)
Substitutes:
- 93. Simão
- 3. Paulo Vitor
- 12. Leonardo Rivas
- 33. Aderllan Santos
- 2. Diogo Spencer
- 19. Tiago Galletto
- 21. Guilherme Neiva
- 20. Diego Duarte
- 18. Nene
