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Analysis and predictions for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: A nail-biting match until the very last minute.

Luong Dam March 12, 2025 12:30

The match between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in the Champions League will take place at 3:00 AM on March 13th. Nghe An Newspaper analyzes the form, provides football commentary, and predicts the score.

Managing Madrid Podcast: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview, 2nd Leg, Champions League 2024 - 2025 - Managing Madrid

Latest team news for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

With Cesar Azpilicueta's return at the weekend, Atletico Madrid are now only missing Koke, allowing Diego Simeone to field his strongest lineup for the upcoming crucial match.

Compared to the first leg, Nahuel Molina and Robin Le Normand were the only two changes to Atletico's starting lineup against Getafe. Both are likely to retain their starting spots despite the team's recent defeat, while the choice between Molina and Pablo Barrios could affect Marcos Llorente's playing time.

Julian Alvarez scored a spectacular goal at the Bernabeu, bringing his total goals in this season's Champions League to seven after nine matches. He also became the third Atletico player to score in two consecutive Bernabeu derbies in the 21st century, alongside Diego Forlan and his attacking partner, Antoine Griezmann.

Amidst the intense La Liga title race, Carlo Ancelotti fielded a very strong team this weekend, with Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe, Jude Bellingham, and Rodrygo starting in their victory against Rayo Vallecano.

Dani Ceballos will be absent due to a hamstring injury, joining Dani Carvajal and Eder Militao on the list of long-term injured players. However, Antonio Rudiger and Thibaut Courtois could return after missing the last game.

Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, and Ferland Mendy were also rested last weekend and are likely to feature in the starting lineup. Jude Bellingham's return after his suspension will almost certainly be the biggest change, meaning Brahim Diaz – who scored the winning goal in the first leg – may have to give up his place despite his impressive form.

Latest predicted lineups for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid:

Oblak; Molina, Gimenez, Le Normand, Javi Galan; Simeone, Marcos Llorente, De Paul, Lino; Alvarez, Griezmann

Real Madrid:

Courtois; Valverde, Asencio, Rudiger, Mendy; Tchouameni, Camavinga; Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vini Jr; Mbappe

Latest football match prediction: Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

The Champions League rivalry between the two teams has historically favored Real Madrid, from the 2014 and 2016 finals to the 2017 semi-final. However, Atletico Madrid have reason to be hopeful, having lost only one of their last seven home games against their arch-rivals.

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In cup competitions, Atletico are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Real Madrid, with four wins. The home team must maintain this record if they want to progress after their defeat in the first leg last week.

In Champions League history, Atletico have lost the first leg of knockout rounds six times, but they have still managed to come back successfully three times, and all three times this happened at home in the second leg.

Under Diego Simeone's leadership, Atletico demonstrated their ability to turn things around in the round of 16 last season, defeating Inter Milan after losing the first leg. Atletico's home form in European competitions is also a major advantage, making them an extremely difficult opponent for any team.

Atletico Madrid have not lost at home in Champions League knockout matches for the past 28 years, maintaining an unbeaten streak of 18 games since their defeat to Ajax at Vicente Calderon in March 1997.

However, they entered this match poorly prepared after a bitter defeat against Getafe on Sunday. Leading until the 88th minute but allowing Mauro Arambarri to score a brace and give the opposition a comeback victory, Atletico lost to Getafe for the first time in their last 25 encounters.

That defeat saw Atletico drop to third place in La Liga, and despite having played one more game, they are still one point behind league leaders Barcelona. If they are eliminated from the Champions League, it would be a major blow to Simeone's team's season.

Real Madrid understands that they need to perform at their best to win away from home, especially when facing the passionate atmosphere at the Metropolitano.

Real Madrid had won eight consecutive matches at Vicente Calderon between 2008 and 2014, but since Atletico moved to Metropolitano, they have only won three of their 17 away games there.

Los Blancos have also never won at Atletico's home ground in their three Champions League encounters. However, given their impressive track record in the continental competition, they are still considered the favorites, especially after becoming the first club in Champions League history to reach 500 matches and win 300 of the first leg.

The first-leg victory was also Real Madrid's fifth consecutive knockout win in the Champions League, and helped them maintain an unbeaten streak of 10 consecutive knockout matches for the first time.

Real Madrid are also very good at protecting their advantage after winning the first leg. In 22 instances of winning the first leg in the Champions League, they have only been eliminated once – against Ajax in 2019. Under Carlo Ancelotti, Real have won all nine times when they held the advantage after the first leg.

However, like Atletico, Real Madrid also had a less than convincing performance last weekend. Although they beat Rayo Vallecano 2-1 to equalize points with Barcelona, ​​they allowed their opponents to control possession more and unleash 20 shots, while only managing 10 shots on goal.

It was a puzzling match at the Bernabeu and could serve as a warning for Real Madrid ahead of their challenging trip to the Metropolitano.

Latest Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid score prediction

Based on the above football analysis, we and leading football websites worldwide have provided our predictions for the match.Atletico Madrid vs Real Madridas follows:

  • Sportsmole:Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
  • WhoScore:Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid
  • Our newspaper predicts:Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Madrid

When and where can I watch Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid live?

To watch the Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid match live in the Champions League at 3:00 AM on March 13th, viewers can tune in to the following channels:K+ Sport,K+PMor online sports channels. We hope you enjoy watching football.

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Analysis and predictions for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: A nail-biting match until the very last minute.
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