Elche vs Sevilla Prediction - La Liga: A Challenge at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Sevilla are facing a form crisis as they visit Elche. With the home advantage, Elche aim to secure points to consolidate their mid-table position.
The match between Elche and Sevilla will take place at 03:00 on January 20, 2026, at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. This is a crucial encounter in La Liga, where both teams are desperate for points to improve their current position in the standings.
Context and ranking position
Currently, Elche sits in 11th place with 23 points after 19 rounds. The home team has maintained a fairly stable form with 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses. Notably, all 5 of Elche's wins this season have come at their home stadium, Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, making it a true fortress.
Conversely, Sevilla is having a difficult season, languishing in 16th place with only 20 points. After 19 matches, the Andalusian team has suffered 11 defeats. The gap between the two teams is only 3 points, making this match more tense than ever.
Recent form and head-to-head history
Sevilla's recent form is a big question mark. In their last five matches, they suffered three consecutive defeats before securing one win and one draw. Sevilla's defense is seriously problematic, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Meanwhile, Elche's form in their last five matches includes two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their goal difference is balanced, having scored 25 goals and conceded 24.
The head-to-head history in the last 5 matches favors Sevilla, but not overwhelmingly:
- September 13, 2025: Sevilla 2 - 2 Elche
- May 25, 2023: Elche 1 - 1 Sevilla
- January 29, 2023: Sevilla 3 - 0 Elche
- February 12, 2022: Sevilla 2 - 0 Elche
- August 29, 2021: Elche 1 - 1 Sevilla
As can be seen, in the last 5 encounters, Sevilla won 2 matches and 3 ended in a draw. However, at the present time, the positions of the two teams have changed significantly.
Force situation
Both coaches are grappling with lengthy injury lists, which are directly impacting their squad selection for this match.
Elche's list of absentees:
- P. Bigas:Absent due to injury
- J. Donald:Absent due to injury
- H. Fort:Absent due to shoulder injury.
- R. Mir:Absent due to muscle injury.
- A. Nunez:Absent due to injury
- Andre Silva:His availability for the match is still uncertain.
Sevilla's list of absentees:
- C. Azpilicueta:Absent due to calf injury.
- A. Gonzalez:Absent due to muscle injury.
- Macao:Absent due to suspension (red card)
- A. Sanchez:Absent due to hip injury.
- R. Vargas:Absent due to injury
Tactical analysis and predictions
Based on statistics, Elche is considered to have the advantage due to their home ground and more consistent form compared to a struggling Sevilla. The predicted odds for Elche to win are 45%, the odds for a draw are 45%, while Sevilla's chances of winning are only 10%.
With both teams missing several key players in defense and attack, the match could be a tight affair. Sevilla may prioritize a safe approach to break their poor run of form, while Elche will take advantage of home crowd support to seek a narrow victory.
Predicted result:Elche win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 02:23 on 20/01/2026
Official lineup
Elche
Diagram: 5-3-2
CoachEder Sarabia
Starting lineup:
- 13. Iñaki Peña (G)
- 17. Josan (D)
- 23. Víctor Christ (D)
- 22. David Afenberger (D)
- 21. Leo Petrot (D)
- 11. Germán Valera (D)
- 16. Martim Neto (M)
- 8. Marc Aguado (M)
- 14. Aleix Febas (M)
- 19. Grady Diangana (F)
- 20. Álvaro Rodriguez (F)
Substitutes:
- 45. Alejandro Iturbe
- 1. Matías Dituro
- 3. Adrià Pedrosa
- 31. David Delgado
- 4. Bamboo Diaby
- 5. Federico Redondo
- 7. Yago Santiago
- 30. Rodrigo Mendoza
- 9. André Silva
- 32. Adam Boatar
- 26. Bema Sina
Sevilla
Diagram: 5-3-2
CoachMatias Almeyda
Starting lineup:
- 1. Odysseas Vlachodimos (G)
- 16. Juanlu Sánchez (D)
- 2. José Ángel Carmona (D)
- 6. Nemanja Gudelj (D)
- 4. Kike Salas (D)
- 36. Oso (D)
- 20. Djibril Sow (M)
- 18. Lucien Agoumé (M)
- 19. Batista Mendy (M)
- 7. Isaac Romero (F)
- 14. Peque Fernández (F)
Substitutes:
- 13. Ørjan Nyland
- 31. Alberto Flores
- 15. Fábio Cardoso
- 32. Andres Castrin
- 5. Tanguy Nianzou
- 29. Miguel Sierra
- 8. Joan Jordán
- 28. Manu Bueno
- 12. Gabriel Suazo
- 21. Chidera Ejuke
- 9. Akor Adams
