Elche vs Valencia Prediction - A Battle for Survival in La Liga
Valencia are looking to increase their lead over the relegation zone as they visit 18th-placed Elche in a dramatic round of La Liga matches.
The match between Elche and Valencia at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero takes place against the backdrop of both teams desperate for points to consolidate their positions in the La Liga standings. While Valencia are currently safe in 14th place, Elche are facing the risk of direct relegation, stuck in 18th place.
9:15 PM on April 11th - A thrilling round of matches in La Liga.
This match is extremely important for Elche. With 29 points after 30 games, the team playing at the Manuel Martínez Valero stadium needs a win to have any hope of escaping the relegation zone. However, their recent form has not been very promising, with one draw and three losses in their last five league matches.
Current league position and form
Valencia are currently 14th with 35 points, boasting slightly better form than their opponents with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. However, their away form remains a big question mark, as they have only won 3 out of 15 away games this season.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tehran | 14 | 35 | Win 3, Loss 2 |
| Elche | 18 | 29 | Win 1, Draw 1, Loss 3 |
Statistics show that Elche scores an average of 1.3 goals per game but concedes 1.6 goals. Conversely, Valencia has a lower scoring efficiency (1.1 goals/game) but their defense is slightly more solid than the home team, conceding only 1.5 goals per game.
The head-to-head history favors Valencia.
History is on the visitors' side as Valencia are unbeaten in their last five encounters with Elche. Specifically, Valencia have won three and drawn two. The most recent match in January 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw, showing that Elche are perfectly capable of causing problems for their opponents if they play to their full potential.
- January 11, 2026: Valencia 1 - 1 Elche
- April 23, 2023: Elche 0 - 2 Valencia
- October 15, 2022: Valencia 2 - 2 Elche
- March 19, 2022: Elche 0 - 1 Valencia
- December 12, 2021: Valencia 2 - 1 Elche
Force situation and personnel losses
Both teams enter this match with significant personnel losses. Elche will be without key player P. Bigas due to a red card, along with A. Boayar and G. Diangana due to injury. The availability of M. Aguado and H. Fort remains uncertain.
On Valencia's side, the injury list is even longer with J. Agirrezabala (knee), J. Copete (ankle), and the trio of M. Diakhaby, U. Nunez, and D. Foulquier. The absence of a number of key players in the defense could cause the Valencia coach a headache in finding replacements.
Tactical analysis and predictions
Despite playing away from home, Valencia is still considered the favorite due to their status as a big team and impressive head-to-head record. Predicted odds suggest that Valencia has an equal chance of winning and a draw (45%), while Elche's chances of winning are only 10%.
Given the crucial nature of the relegation battle, the match is likely to be tight. Both teams have a tendency to score under 2.5 goals in their recent matches. A draw or a minimal victory for Valencia is the most likely outcome.
Predicted result:Valencia win or draw.
Team lineup updated at 21:01 on 11/04/2026
Official lineup
Elche
Diagram: 4-4-2
CoachEder Sarabia
Starting lineup:
- 1. Matías Dituro (G)
- 42. Buba Sangare (D)
- 22. David Afenberger (D)
- 21. Leo Petrot (D)
- 11. Germán Valera (D)
- 15. Tete Morente (M)
- 12. Gonzalo Villar (M)
- 14. Aleix Febas (M)
- 16. Martim Neto (M)
- 9. André Silva (F)
- 10. Rafa Mir (F)
Substitutes:
- 23. Víctor Christ
- 24. Lucas Cepeda
- 5. Federico Redondo
- 20. Álvaro Rodriguez
- 45. Alejandro Iturbe
- 13. Iñaki Peña
- 3. Adrià Pedrosa
- 17. Josan
- 18. John Donald
- 31. David Delgado
Tehran
Diagram: 4-4-2
CoachCarlos Corberan
Starting lineup:
- 1. Stole Dimitrievski (G)
- 12. Thierry Correia (D)
- 5. César Tárrega (D)
- 24. Eray Cömert (D)
- 14. José Luis Gayà (D)
- 11. Luis Rioja (M)
- 2. Guido Rodríguez (M)
- 23. Filip Ugrinić (M)
- 17. Largie Ramazani (M)
- 15. Lucas Beltrán (F)
- 6. Umar Sadiq (F)
Substitutes:
- 9. Hugo Duro
- 16. Diego López
- 8. Javier Guerra
- 20. Renzo Saravia
- 10. André Almeida
- 19. Dani Raba
- 22. Baptiste Santamaria
- 7. Arnaut Danjuma
- 21. Jesús Vázquez
- 13. Cristian Rivero
- 18. Pepelu
- 26. Rubén Iranzo
