Fiorentina vs Cremonese Prediction - Serie A: A chance to escape relegation for the bottom-placed team.

Thanh VinhJanuary 4, 2026 08:20

Fiorentina must win against Cremonese at the Artemio Franchi stadium to rekindle their hopes of avoiding relegation, given their current position at the bottom of the league table.

The match between Fiorentina and Cremonese will take place at 9:00 PM on January 4, 2026, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. This is a crucial match for the home team in their fight to avoid relegation in Serie A this season.

9:00 PM, January 4th, 2026 - A thrilling round of matches in Serie A.

Fiorentina is experiencing one of the worst seasons in the club's history. With the last place (20) and only 9 points after 17 rounds, the pressure on the team at Artemio Franchi Stadium is immense. Meanwhile, Cremonese is in a safer position at 12th place with 21 points, ready to cause more difficulties for their struggling opponent.

Fiorentina's precarious situation

Fiorentina's recent form has been extremely alarming. In their last five matches, they have only managed one win and suffered four defeats. Statistics this season highlight the stagnation of their attack, averaging only 1.0 goal per game, while their defense has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Notably, Fiorentina has only won one match since the start of the season. Despite playing at home, with five defeats at Artemio Franchi, the home advantage no longer seems to be a reliable support for this team.

Cremonese and stability in the midfield

In contrast to the home team, Cremonese is maintaining a fairly stable form to stay firmly in the middle of the league table. They have won 5 out of 17 matches, including 3 away wins. This shows that Cremonese is an extremely resilient opponent when playing away from home.

The visiting team's defense is also considered superior, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per game. With their pragmatic playing style, Cremonese can certainly exploit the impatience of a Fiorentina team desperate for points.

Current ranking position

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Cremonese12212 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Fiorentina209Win 1, Loss 4

Head-to-head history and key statistics

Despite their poor form, Fiorentina's head-to-head history heavily favors them. In the last four meetings since 2022, Fiorentina has won three times and drawn once. Notably, they have defeated Cremonese with significant margins, such as a 2-0 victory away from home.

However, past statistics may no longer be as valuable as Fiorentina's squad is severely depleted and the players' morale is at its lowest point.

Force situation

Personnel issues are a major headache for the Fiorentina coaching staff. The list of absentees includes:

  • T. Lamptey:Absent due to a knee injury.
  • J. Fazzini:His availability is uncertain due to an ankle injury.
  • M. Kean:It is uncertain whether I will play due to personal reasons.
  • A. Richardson:Low chances of playing.

On the other side of the battlefield, Cremonese was also missing some key players:

  • M. Collocolo:Absent due to a groin injury.
  • J. Sarmiento:Not competing.

In-depth analysis

Despite Fiorentina being at the bottom of the table, experts still have faith in their ability to earn points due to their head-to-head advantage and the crucial nature of the match. The predicted odds for a home win are 35%, equivalent to a draw (35%), while the probability of Cremonese winning is 30%.

This is expected to be a tight match with few goals (under 2.5 goals per team). Fiorentina will prioritize defensive solidity to avoid a damaging defeat, while Cremonese also don't need to rush.

Predicted result:Fiorentina win or draw (Double Chance).

Team lineup updated at 20:38 on 04/01/2026

Official lineup

Fiorentina

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachPaolo Vanoli

Starting lineup:

  • 43. David De Gea (G)
  • 5. Marin Pongračić (D)
  • 15. Pietro Comuzzo (D)
  • 6. Luca Ranieri (D)
  • 2. Dodo (M)
  • 8. Rolando Mandragora (M)
  • 44. Nicolò Fagioli (M)
  • 27. Cher Ndou (M)
  • 65. Fabiano Parisi (M)
  • 10. Albert Guðmundsson (F)
  • 91. Roberto Piccoli (F)

Substitutes:

  • 1. Luca Lezzerini
  • 30. Tommaso Martinelli
  • 26. Mattia Viti
  • 23. Eman Košpo
  • 18. Pablo Marí
  • 60. Eddy Kouadio
  • 21. Robin Gosens
  • 7. Simon Sohm
  • 29. Niccolò Fortini
  • 19. Solomon Manor
  • 14. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 99. Christian Kouamé
  • 20. Moise Kean

Cremonese

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachDavide Nicola

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Emil Audero (G)
  • 24. Filippo Terracciano (D)
  • 6. Federico Baschirotto (D)
  • 55. Francesco Folino (D)
  • 4. Tommaso Barbieri (M)
  • 32. Martín Payero (M)
  • 38. Warren Bondo (M)
  • 27. Jari Vandeputte (M)
  • 3. Giuseppe Pezzella (M)
  • 90. Federico Bonazzoli (F)
  • 10. Jamie Vardy (F)

Substitutes:

  • 16. Marco Silvestri
  • 69. Lapo Nava
  • 15. Matteo Bianchetti
  • 23. Federico Ceccherini
  • 30. Mikayil Faye
  • 22. Romano Floriani Mussolini
  • 8. Mattia Valoti
  • 33. Alberto Grassi
  • 7. Alessio Zerbin
  • 48. Dachi Lordkipanidze
  • 20. Franco Vázquez
  • 11. Dennis Johnson
  • 14. Faris Moumbagna
  • 99. Antonio Sanabria
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Fiorentina vs Cremonese Prediction - Serie A: A chance to escape relegation for the bottom-placed team.
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