Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction - Serie A: A Challenge at Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina are desperate to secure points against a resurgent Parma to widen the gap on the relegation zone in their match on March 8th.
The clash between Fiorentina and Parma in Serie A Round 28 is crucial for the home team in their fight to avoid relegation. The match is scheduled to take place at 9:00 PM on March 8th, 2026 at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, where "The Viola" are under immense pressure following a series of inconsistent results.
Context and ranking position
Currently, the gap between the two teams in the standings is quite large. Parma is temporarily safe in 12th place with 33 points, while Fiorentina is in 16th place with 24 points. The home team is only a narrow margin above the relegation zone, making every match at Artemio Franchi at this point a crucial relegation battle.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 12 | 33 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Fiorentina | 16 | 24 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
In-depth performance analysis and statistics
Fiorentina: Concerns about their defense.
The home team enters this match with rather unfavorable statistics. After 27 matches played, Fiorentina has only won 5 games, including 3 at home. Their biggest problem lies in their defense, having conceded 42 goals (an average of 1.6 goals per game), while their attack has only scored 30 goals.
Their form in the last five matches shows two wins, one draw, and two losses. To achieve a positive result against Parma, Fiorentina's coach needs to tighten up their currently shaky defensive structure.
Parma: Consistency from away games
In contrast to the home team, Parma is showing remarkable resilience. They have won 8 matches this season, notably 5 of which came away from home. Although their attack isn't particularly explosive (scoring 20 goals), Parma's defense is quite disciplined, conceding only 1.2 goals per game.
Parma's form in their last five matches has been very impressive, with three wins, one draw, and only one loss. This gives the visitors great confidence ahead of their trip to Florence.
Head-to-head history: A scenario of draws
Looking at the history of the last 5 encounters, we can see an incredible balance between the two teams:
- December 27, 2025: Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina
- April 13, 2025: Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma
- August 17, 2024: Parma 1 - 1 Fiorentina
- December 7, 2023: Fiorentina 2 - 2 Parma
- July 21, 2023: Fiorentina 1 - 1 Parma
In their last five matches, four ended in a draw. Parma's only victory came in their most recent encounter at the end of 2025.
Team situation and tactical predictions
Both teams are facing significant personnel losses due to injuries and suspensions.
Absent list
- Fiorentina:T. Lamptey (knee injury), L. Lezzerini (muscle injury), F. Parisi (suspended due to yellow card), M. Solomon (muscle injury). Striker M. Kean's participation is currently uncertain.
- Parma:P. Almqvist (thigh injury), A. Bernabe (muscle injury), S. Britschgi (muscle injury), M. Frigan (knee injury), L. Valenti (suspended due to yellow card).
Match analysis
Based on statistics and current form, Parma is considered slightly superior with a 45% chance of winning. However, the possibility of a draw is also very high (45%). Fiorentina only has about a 10% chance of securing all three points at home.
Given the importance of the relegation battle and the history of clashes between the two teams, a tight match with few goals (under 2.5) is the most likely scenario at Artemio Franchi.
Team lineup updated at 20:30 on 08/03/2026
Official lineup
Fiorentina
Diagram: 4-1-4-1
CoachPaolo Vanoli
Starting lineup:
- 43. David De Gea (G)
- 2. Dodo (D)
- 5. Marin Pongračić (D)
- 6. Luca Ranieri (D)
- 21. Robin Gosens (D)
- 44. Nicolò Fagioli (M)
- 17. Jack Harrison (M)
- 27. Cher Ndou (M)
- 8. Rolando Mandragora (M)
- 10. Albert Guðmundsson (M)
- 91. Roberto Piccoli (F)
Substitutes:
- 53. Oliver Christensen
- 50. Pietro Leonardelli
- 62. Luís Balbo
- 15. Pietro Comuzzo
- 3. Daniele Rugani
- 60. Eddy Kouadio
- 4. Marco Brescianini
- 80. Giovanni Fabbian
- 29. Niccolò Fortini
- 22. Jacopo Fazzini
- 61. Riccardo Braschi
Parma
Diagram: 3-1-4-2
CoachCarlos Cuesta
Starting lineup:
- 40. Edoardo Corvi (G)
- 15. Enrico Delprato (D)
- 37. Mariano Troilo (D)
- 39. Alessandro Circati (D)
- 16. Mandela Keita (M)
- 25. Benjamin Cremaschi (M)
- 22. Oliver Sørensen (M)
- 41. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (M)
- 14. Emanuele Valeri (M)
- 7. Gabriel Strefezza (F)
- 9. Mateo Pellegrino (F)
Substitutes:
- 66. Filippo Rinaldi
- 31. Zion Suzuki
- 3. Abdoulaye Ndiaye
- 63. Marlon Mena
- 70. Bernardo Conde
- 8. Nahuel Estévez
- 29. Franco Carboni
- 17. Jacob Ondrejka
- 23. Nesta Elphege
