Fiorentina vs Pisa Prediction - Serie A: A life-or-death battle in the Tuscan region
The Tuscan derby between Fiorentina and Pisa at Stadio Artemio Franchi at 00:30 on February 24th is essentially a 'relegation battle' in the Serie A relegation race.
The next round of Serie A will see a direct clash between two teams currently in the relegation zone: Fiorentina (18th) and Pisa (19th). With a 6-point gap between the two teams, the result at Stadio Artemio Franchi will not only determine their temporary standings but also directly affect their morale for the remainder of the season.
00:30 on February 24th - Serie A Round 26
Fiorentina enters this match with a slight advantage playing at home. The Viola currently sit 18th with 21 points after 25 matches. Meanwhile, Pisa are in a more precarious situation, sitting just behind them with only 15 points.
Current league position and form
| Team | Location | Point | Form in the last 5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 18 | 21 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
| Pisa | 19 | 15 | Wins 0, Draws 2, Losses 3 |
Fiorentina's form has improved slightly recently, with two wins in their last five matches. Notably, their attacking ability remains at an average of 1.2 goals per game. Conversely, Pisa is going through a dark period, having failed to win in their last five games, only managing two draws and suffering three defeats.
Analyzing the strengths of the attack and defense.
Fiorentina have scored a total of 29 goals in 25 matches, but their defense is their Achilles' heel, conceding 39 goals (an average of 1.6 goals per game). On the other hand, Pisa have the weakest attack in the league with only 20 goals (0.8 goals per game) and their defense is not much better, having conceded 42 goals.
In particular, Pisa has a jinx when playing away from home. In 25 matches played this season, they have only managed one win and have never enjoyed a complete victory on the road.
History of confrontations and current team situation.
In their most recent encounter in September 2025, the two teams played to a goalless draw at Pisa's home ground. This highlights the excessive caution often seen in matches between two direct rivals vying for survival in the league.
In terms of personnel, Fiorentina is suffering significant losses in defense and midfield:
- T. Lamptey:Absent due to a knee injury.
- R. Mandragora:Absent due to accumulating too many yellow/red cards.
- A. Gudmundsson and D. Rugani:His availability is still uncertain due to a calf injury and other fitness issues.
The visiting team, Pisa, is in an even more serious crisis with a long list of injured players:
- D. Denoon:Ankle injury.
- S. Scuffet:Muscle injury.
- C. Stengs:Thigh injury.
- I. Vural:Knee injury.
Tactical analysis and predictions
Despite both teams' inconsistent form, Fiorentina is still considered the favorite due to their home advantage and a slightly higher-quality squad. Experts predict Fiorentina has a 45% chance of winning, equal to the odds of a draw, while Pisa's chances of winning are only 10%.
Overall, this will be a close match. Fiorentina have a good chance of securing at least one point at Artemio Franchi to maintain a safe distance from the bottom of the table.
Team lineup updated at 00:00 on February 24, 2026
Official lineup
Fiorentina
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachPaolo Vanoli
Starting lineup:
- 43. David De Gea (G)
- 2. Dodo (D)
- 5. Marin Pongračić (D)
- 6. Luca Ranieri (D)
- 65. Fabiano Parisi (D)
- 27. Cher Ndou (M)
- 44. Nicolò Fagioli (M)
- 4. Marco Brescianini (M)
- 17. Jack Harrison (F)
- 20. Moise Kean (F)
- 19. Solomon Manor (F)
Substitutes:
- 53. Oliver Christensen
- 1. Luca Lezzerini
- 60. Eddy Kouadio
- 62. Luís Balbo
- 3. Daniele Rugani
- 21. Robin Gosens
- 15. Pietro Comuzzo
- 29. Niccolò Fortini
- 63. Piergiorgio Bonanno
- 80. Giovanni Fabbian
- 22. Jacopo Fazzini
- 91. Roberto Piccoli
- 10. Albert Guðmundsson
Pisa
Diagram: 3-4-2-1
CoachOscar Hiljemark
Starting lineup:
- 12. Nicolas (G)
- 5. Simone Canestrelli (D)
- 4. Antonio Caracciolo (D)
- 2. Rosen Bozhinov (D)
- 15. Idrissa Touré (M)
- 6. Marius Marin (M)
- 35. Felipe Loyola (M)
- 3. Samuele Angori (M)
- 32. Stefano Moreo (F)
- 19. Samuel Iling Junior (F)
- 81. Filip Stojilković (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Adrian Šemper
- 34. Tommaso Guizzo
- 26. Francesco Coppola
- 39. Raúl Albiol
- 33. Arturo Calabresi
- 8. Malthe Højholt
- 11. Juan Cuadrado
- 36. Gabriele Piccinini
- 99. Lorran
- 7. Mehdi Léris
- 14. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro
- 20. Michel Aebischer
- 9. Henrik Wendel Meister
- 17. Rafiu Durosinmi
- 10. Matteo Tramoni
