Genoa vs Cagliari Prediction - Serie A: A tense relegation battle

The match between Genoa and Cagliari will take place at 00:30 on January 13, 2026, at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. This is considered a direct confrontation between two teams striving to escape the relegation zone in the bottom half of the Serie A table this season.

Current position on the leaderboard

On the league table, Cagliari currently sits 15th with 19 points. Meanwhile, hosts Genoa are in 17th place with 16 points. The 3-point gap makes this match an opportunity for Genoa to close the gap or for Cagliari to increase their safe distance from the relegation zone.

Analyzing team performance and statistics.

Genoa (Home team)

Genoa are going through a difficult period, having failed to win in their last five matches, including two draws and three losses. Since the start of the season, the team has played 19 matches but only managed three wins, with just one of those coming at home.

In terms of attack, Genoa have scored 19 goals (an average of 1.0 goal per game). However, their defense is a major concern, having conceded 29 goals, an average of 1.5 goals per game. The pressure on the home team at Luigi Ferraris is immense as they have yet to demonstrate the necessary consistency.

Cagliari (Away team)

Cagliari have been more consistent than their opponents, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 league matches. After 19 games, they have 4 wins (2 away) and 7 draws. Cagliari also have a better goal difference with 21 goals scored and 27 goals conceded.

A history of dramatic confrontations.

Statistics reveal an impressive balance in recent encounters between the two teams. In their last five matches, three ended in draws (3-3, 1-1, and 2-2). Genoa's last victory was in April 2024 with a 3-0 scoreline, while Cagliari defeated Genoa 2-1 in November 2023.

• November 22, 2025: Cagliari 3 - 3 Genoa
• March 8, 2025: Cagliari 1 - 1 Genoa
• November 24, 2024: Genoa 2 - 2 Cagliari
• April 30, 2024: Genoa 3 - 0 Genoa
• November 5, 2023: Cagliari 2 - 1 Genoa

Predict the course and outcome.

Based on form and head-to-head data, Cagliari is considered more likely to earn points in this away match. Predicted odds show a 45% chance of the away team winning, equivalent to a 45% chance of a draw, while Genoa's chances of winning are only estimated at 10%.

The match is predicted to have few goals from the home team (under 1.5 goals) and the away team is also predicted to score no more than 2.5 goals. Given the importance of a relegation battle, caution is likely to lead to a tight game.

Predicted result:Cagliari win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 00:08 on January 13, 2026

Official lineup

net

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachDaniele De Rossi

Starting lineup:

• 1. Nicola Leani (G)
• 27. Alessandro Marcandalli (D)
• 5. Leo Østigård (D)
• 22. Johan Vásquez (D)
• 15. Brooke Norton-Cuffy (M)
• 17. Ruslan Malinovskyi (M)
• 32. Morten Frendrop (M)
• 77. Mikael Ellertsson (M)
• 3. Aarón Martín (M)
• 9. Vitinha (F)
• 29. Lorenzo Colombo (F)

Substitutes:

• 39. Daniele Sommariva
• 35. Ernestas Lysionok
• 20. Stefano Sabelli
• 8. Nicolae Stanciu
• 73. Patrizio Masini
• 30. Hugo Cuenca
• 76. Lorenzo Venturino
• 40. Seydou Fini
• 2. Morten Thorsby
• 21. Jeff Ekhator
• 86. Joi Xheto Nuredini
• 10. Junior Messias

Cagliari

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachFabio Pisacane

Starting lineup:

• 1. Elia Caprile (G)
• 2. Marco Palestra (D)
• 6. Sebastiano Luperto (D)
• 15. Juan Rodríguez (D)
• 77. Zito Luvumbo (M)
• 8. Michel Adopo (M)
• 16. Matteo Prati (M)
• 4. Luca Mazzitelli (M)
• 33. Adam Obert (M)
• 9. Semih Kılıçsoy (F)
• 94. Sebastiano Esposito (F)

Substitutes:

• 12. Alen Sherri
• 24. Giuseppe Ciocci
• 28. Gabriele Zappa
• 23. Nicola Pintus
• 32. Zé Pedro
• 10. Gianluca Gaetano
• 27. Joseph Liteta
• 18. Alessandro Di Pardo
• 21. Nicolò Cavuoti
• 3. Riyad Idrissi
• 30. Leonardo Pavoletti
• 37. Yael Trepy
• 29. Gennaro Borrelli