Genoa vs Torino Prediction - Serie A: A fiery clash at Luigi Ferraris
The match between Genoa and Torino at 6:30 PM on February 22, 2026, is crucial in the relegation battle, as the two teams are separated by only one win in the standings.
Genoa and Torino will face off in a dramatic clash at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris at 6:30 PM on February 22, 2026. This is considered a "six-point" match as both teams are directly competing for a place in the bottom half of the Serie A table.
Context and ranking landscape
Currently, Torino holds a slight advantage, sitting in 14th place with 27 points. Meanwhile, hosts Genoa are close behind in 15th place with 24 points. This narrow gap means the outcome of the upcoming match could completely change the dynamics between the two teams.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 14 | 27 | 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses |
| net | 15 | 24 | 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses |
Analysis of the home team Genoa's form
Genoa enters this match with a rather modest record. After 25 matches played, they have won 5, drawn 9, and lost 11. Notably, the home team's scoring efficiency at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium averages 1.2 goals per game, but their defense is conceding 1.5 goals per game. Their home form is also not very impressive, with only 3 wins out of 13 matches played in front of their home crowd.
Analysis of the performance of the visiting team Torino.
The visiting team, Torino, is not much better, possessing one of the weakest defenses in the mid-table, conceding 44 goals in 25 matches (an average of 1.8 goals per game). In their last five matches, the Turin team has only managed one victory. However, Torino still retains some identity with a more pragmatic playing style, although their attacking efficiency remains at only 1.0 goal per game.
Head-to-head history and notable statistics
History is on the visitors' side. In their last five encounters, Torino have remained unbeaten against Genoa with two wins and three draws. Matches between the two clubs are usually close and low-scoring. Specifically, three matches ended in a draw, including two consecutive goalless draws in 2024.
- October 26, 2025: Torino 2 - 1 Genoa
- February 9, 2025: Torino 1 - 1 Genoa
- December 7, 2024: Genoa 0 - 0 Torino
- January 13, 2024: Genoa 0 - 0 Torino
- September 3, 2023: Torino 1 - 0 Genoa
Force situation and tactical forecast
Torino are facing a serious personnel crisis. The list of confirmed absentees includes C. Adams (calf injury) and Z. Savva (knee injury). In addition, the availability of F. Anjorin, I. Ilic, A. Ismajli, and R. Obrador remains uncertain due to various fitness issues.
On Genoa's side, the situation is much more favorable. The coach only needs to closely monitor the condition of S. Otoa and goalkeeper B. Siegrist. With the advantage of having all their key players available, Genoa is expected to take control of the match and look for an early goal.
Match analysis
Based on statistical data, the match is predicted to be extremely balanced, with a 35% chance of a win for the home team Genoa and a 35% chance of a draw. Although Torino has the historical advantage in head-to-head encounters, the absence of several key players due to injury could make it difficult for them against a Genoa side desperate for points to move further away from the relegation zone.
Team lineup updated at 18:15 on February 22, 2026
Official lineup
net
Diagram: 3-4-2-1
CoachDaniele De Rossi
Starting lineup:
- 16. Justin Bijlow (G)
- 27. Alessandro Marcandalli (D)
- 5. Leo Østigård (D)
- 22. Johan Vásquez (D)
- 15. Brooke Norton-Cuffy (M)
- 17. Ruslan Malinovskyi (M)
- 32. Morten Frendrop (M)
- 77. Mikael Ellertsson (M)
- 8. Tommaso Baldanzi (F)
- 18. Caleb Ekuban (F)
- 29. Lorenzo Colombo (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Nicola Leani
- 39. Daniele Sommariva
- 20. Stefano Sabelli
- 99. Mamedi Doucouré
- 13. Nils Zätterström
- 3. Aarón Martín
- 73. Patrizio Masini
- 4. Alexsandro Amorim
- 14. Jean Onana
- 9. Vitinha
- 10. Junior Messias
- 70. Maxwel Cornet
- 21. Jeff Ekhator
Torino
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachMarco Baroni
Starting lineup:
- 1. Alberto Paleari (G)
- 23. Saúl Coco (D)
- 13. Guillermo Maripán (D)
- 77. Enzo Ebosse (D)
- 20. Valentino Lazaro (M)
- 10. Nikola Vlašić (M)
- 6. Emirhan İlkhan (M)
- 66. Gvidas Gineitis (M)
- 33. Rafael Obardo (M)
- 18. Giovanni Simeone (F)
- 17. Sandro Kulenović (F)
Substitutes:
- 81. Franco Israel
- 99. Lapo Siviero
- 25. Niels Nkounkou
- 34. Cristiano Biraghi
- 44. Ardian Ismajli
- 35. Luca Marianucci
- 16. Marcus Pedersen
- 14. Faustino Anjorin
- 8. Ivan Ilić
- 61. Adrien Tameze
- 22. Cesare Casadei
- 4. Matteo Prati
- 92. Alieu Njie
- 91. Duván Zapata
